XRP Could Be Forming a Base After 66% Rebound as On-Chain Signals Suggest Possible Upside

By COINOTag — Published: October 13, 2025 | Updated: October 13, 2025

  • Price recovery: XRP rose ~66% from $1.58 to ~$2.60, restoring more than $75B in market cap.

  • XRP daily volume increased over 17% to roughly $10.25B; open interest in perpetuals hit $1.5B.

  • On‑chain metrics (Glassnode, Santiment) show increased liquidations and a SOPR bottom near 0.95, historically preceding rebounds.

XRP rebound: Ripple’s XRP climbed from a 10‑month low to ~$2.6, regaining $75B market cap — read the latest on on‑chain signals and trading levels. (COINOTag)

What is XRP’s recent rebound?

XRP rebound refers to Ripple’s native token rallying from a 10‑month low of $1.58 to roughly $2.60, a recovery of about 66% that restored more than $75 billion in market capitalization. The move has been supported by higher trading volumes, changes in whale sell patterns and improving on‑chain indicators such as SOPR.

How did on‑chain metrics and trading activity influence the recovery?

On‑chain data from Santiment shows large whale addresses sold an estimated $40–$50 million of XRP daily in the prior month, contributing to more than $1.5 billion in net liquidations. That mass selling pushed prices below $1.60 before buying interest re‑entered the market. According to Coingecko, XRP’s market cap recovered to $154.75 billion, and daily trading volume rose ~17% to $10.25 billion. Derivatives data points to a $1.5 billion open interest in perpetuals, while futures volumes fell, suggesting traders are rotating instruments as volatility returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did XRP fall to $1.58 and then rebound?

XRP fell amid broad market pressure tied to macroeconomic developments and concentrated whale selling pressure; Santiment and Coinglass data show heavy liquidations and elevated trading, while renewed accumulation and improved SOPR readings (Glassnode) helped catalyze the rebound.

Is XRP looking bullish now?

Short‑term indicators are mixed: XRP reclaimed the 200‑day SMA (~$2.58) and the 20‑day SMA (~$2.42), but the RSI near 38 suggests room for upside if buying momentum persists. Traders should watch $2.70–$2.80 and $2.88–$2.95 as key resistance zones.

On‑the‑record analyst comment: “Following the washout, market structure and SOPR dynamics point to a stabilizing base; if volume sustains above the 200‑day SMA, the path toward prior resistance bands becomes more plausible,” said a COINOTag market analyst.

image 614XRP SOPR. Source: Glassnode

Glassnode’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for XRP dipped to about 0.95 after the crash — its lowest in six months — a reading often associated with capitulation and potential mean‑reversion. Historically, a similar SOPR trough on April 7 preceded a roughly 35% rebound to $2.58 within a month, suggesting a possible comparable setup today.

Who reduced exposure and what does that mean for price action?

Long‑term holder wallets reduced XRP holdings by about 27% between October 2 and October 12, dropping from ~163.7M to ~119.2M XRP, according to on‑chain flow reports. Reduced long‑term supply coupled with a 44% jump in XRP‑contract volume (Coinglass) indicates profit taking by earlier holders and heightened short‑term trading activity — a combination that can both limit immediate upside and set the stage for consolidation.

Key Takeaways

  • Price recovery: XRP rallied ~66% from $1.58 to ~$2.60, recovering over $75B in market cap.
  • On‑chain signals: SOPR bottom near 0.95 and reduced long‑term holdings point to a capitulation then rebound dynamic (Glassnode, Santiment).
  • Levels to watch: Short‑term support/resistance lies at $2.42 (20‑day SMA), $2.70–$2.80, and $2.88–$2.95; sustained volume above the 200‑day SMA would be a constructive sign.

Conclusion

COINOTag reporting shows the XRP rebound is backed by measurable on‑chain shifts and rising trading activity, not just an isolated price spike. Glassnode, Santiment, Coingecko and Coinglass data all point to a market that experienced forced liquidations followed by renewed accumulation. Investors should monitor volume, SOPR trajectories and the $2.70–$2.95 resistance bands for cues on the next directional move. For ongoing updates and deeper on‑chain analysis, follow COINOTag coverage.

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