According to a recent chart report from Matrixport, released on January 8th, fluctuations in global liquidity are poised to exert downward pressure on Bitcoin. Historical analysis indicates that shifts in liquidity tend to precede Bitcoin’s price movements by approximately 13 weeks. In light of the tightening of USD-denominated global liquidity, driven by factors such as Donald Trump‘s potential reelection and the strengthening of the US dollar, it appears that Bitcoin may be entering a consolidation phase.
Despite this anticipated consolidation, which is likely to be short-lived, the long-term outlook for risk assets, particularly Bitcoin, remains cautiously optimistic. It is crucial for traders to exercise heightened vigilance in the current weaker liquidity environment, as historical data consistently highlight the reliability of these liquidity fluctuations as significant market indicators.