AAVE Near $214 After $35.5M Whale Sell-Off, Reclaiming $244 Could Be Key to Recovery

• Whales dumped ~158,227 AAVE (~$35.5M), accelerating the decline

• Retail traders added to the pressure with negative spot delta and increased exchange inflows

• AAVE lost key moving averages; short-term support sits near $209 with $202 as critical support

AAVE price drop: AAVE fell to $214 after $35.5M in whale sales and increased exchange inflows — read COINOTAG’s concise analysis and next steps.

Published: 17 October 2025 | Updated: 17 October 2025 | By COINOTAG

What caused AAVE’s price drop to $214?

AAVE price drop was driven primarily by concentrated whale selling and follow-on retail exits. Over the past week, large holders sold about 158,227 AAVE (~$35.5 million), while exchange inflows and negative spot delta signaled available supply and declining market conviction.

How did whale activity and on-chain flows amplify the decline?

On-chain monitoring services reported sustained large order sizes and specific whale transactions. CryptoQuant data showed elevated spot average order size for seven consecutive days, indicating concentrated participation by major holders. Lookonchain recorded a single whale selling 88,227 AAVE (~$19.89M), while reports from EmberCN noted another long-term holder sold ~70,000 AAVE (~$15.62M). In total, these sales amounted to ~158,227 tokens (~$35.51M), a volume substantial enough to overwhelm short-term buying interest and trigger cascading exits.

Source: CryptoQuant

Plain-text source: CryptoQuant

These concentrated sales coincided with elevated exchange netflows and a negative spot delta that showed retail and short-term traders adding to selling pressure. Coinalyze data recorded a negative spot delta for six straight days, and on 17 October AAVE saw ~48k sell volume vs ~46k buy volume, producing a net negative delta of -1.34k — a clear sign of aggressive selling across market tiers.

Source: Lookonchain

Plain-text source: Lookonchain

Exchange metrics reinforced the downtrend. CryptoQuant showed a positive Exchange Netflow for three consecutive days, and at press time net inflows totaled ~30k AAVE — indicating fresh supply moving onto exchanges and increasing the likelihood of immediate selling. Historically, this pattern precedes further downside when demand does not absorb the additional supply quickly.

Plain-text source: Coinalyze

How does technical structure affect near-term outlook?

Technically, AAVE has moved below key short- and long-term moving averages, signaling downside momentum and a deteriorating market structure. TradingView-derived charts show the price under the Future Trend Channel midline and below major EMAs, a configuration that favors continuation of the correction unless buyers reclaim critical levels.

Plain-text source: CryptoQuant

Projection scenarios based on the current structure:

• Bear case: Continuation to the lower boundary of the Future Trend Channel near $209, with $202 as the next major support.
• Bull case: Reclaiming the Future Trend Channel midline around $244 would be required to restore momentum and target the short-term EMA (EMA20) near $258.

Plain-text source: TradingView

COINOTAG analyst commentary: “The concentrated whale sales created a liquidity imbalance that retail sellers amplified. Until exchange inflows subside and demand reappears at higher levels, AAVE is likely to remain under pressure.” — COINOTAG analysis team.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did whales sell during the latest AAVE correction?

Whales sold approximately 158,227 AAVE tokens (~$35.51M) in two large known transactions: ~88,227 AAVE (~$19.89M) and ~70,000 AAVE (~$15.62M), according to on-chain reporting and aggregation services.

Is AAVE likely to rebound soon?

Short-term rebound requires buyers to reclaim the Future Trend Channel midline (~$244). If that level is not reclaimed and exchange netflows remain positive, downside toward $209–$202 is more probable.

Key Takeaways

• Concentrated selling: Whales offloaded ~158,227 AAVE (~$35.5M), triggering price stress.
• Retail & exchange flows: Negative spot delta and increased exchange inflows intensified downward pressure.
• Actionable level: Bulls must reclaim ~$244 to shift momentum; failure to do so leaves support at $209 and $202 vulnerable.

Conclusion

COINOTAG reporting shows that the AAVE price drop to $214 resulted from concentrated whale liquidations and follow-on retail selling, supported by CryptoQuant, Lookonchain, EmberCN, Coinalyze and TradingView data. Market structure remains weak until buyers reclaim the Future Trend Channel around $244; traders should monitor exchange netflows and spot delta for signs of demand returning. For continuing coverage and updates, follow COINOTAG’s market analysis.