AAVE Could Rally After Arthur Hayes’ 1,630‑Token Buy If 200‑Day MA Holds and $246 Support Prevents Liquidations

  • Whale accumulation: Arthur Hayes bought 1,630 AAVE (~$442K), prompting copy-trading and volume spikes.

  • Price action: AAVE tested the 200-day moving average after a trendline breakdown from April.

  • Market structure: Liquidity clusters and MACD show bearish momentum; Horizon RWA deposits topped $150M.

AAVE price update: AAVE price near $279 after whale buys; watch 200MA and $246 support for the next move — read the latest analysis and trade ideas.

What is driving AAVE’s current price action?

AAVE price moved below $300 before a short recovery, driven by whale accumulation, macro DeFi flows, and technical tension at the 200-day moving average. Fundamentals such as strong protocol supply and Horizon RWA growth support longer-term value, while on-chain liquidity and momentum indicators dictate near-term moves.

How did Arthur Hayes’ purchase affect AAVE momentum?

Arthur Hayes executed a visible buy of 1,630 AAVE (~$442,000). That wallet activity increased on-chain attention and copy-trading behavior, briefly improving bids near $279. Traders tracked the flows via on-chain analytics services (Lookonchain) and adjusted positions, which temporarily reduced selling pressure.

Aave remains a major DeFi lender with reported aggregate supply around $71.85 billion and total debt exceeding $30 billion over the past year. Its RWA arm, Horizon, recently surpassed $150 million in tokenized deposits, highlighting ongoing product expansion.

Accumulation and DeFi activity surges

On-chain whale accumulation coincided with a shift in market attention from other projects. Arthur Hayes’ allocation to AAVE followed his exit from a different token, cited publicly as supply-risk driven. The reallocation drew trader interest and increased monitoring of AAVE wallet flows.

Short-term price support and collective trader behavior will determine whether this accumulation triggers broader buying or remains an isolated conviction trade.

aave

Source: Lookonchain

AAVE price approaches 200MA support — what matters?

Daily charts show AAVE revisiting the 200-day moving average after breaking a multi-month trendline that started in April. The 200MA is a critical inflection: holding it supports a bullish structure; losing it risks a deeper correction.

Momentum indicators (MACD) currently show bearish control, implying buyers must strengthen near the 200MA to prevent further losses. A defensive hold around $246 would open a path back to $384 resistance.

AAVE 2025 09 24 11 55 26

Source: TradingView

Why are liquidation clusters important for AAVE traders?

Liquidation heatmaps show concentrated liquidity zones above and below current price. Greater liquidity above the market increases the potential for a short squeeze if price moves upward and hits stop orders.

Conversely, a breakdown under key levels (notably $270) could trigger clustered liquidations, accelerating downward momentum and widening losses for weakly positioned buyers.

aave

Source: CoinGlass

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AAVE likely to rebound above $300 soon?

A rebound depends on defending the 200-day MA and renewed buyer momentum. If the 200MA holds and whale support continues, AAVE could retest $300–$384. Failure to hold near $246 risks deeper weakness and liquidations below $270.

How much did Arthur Hayes buy and why does it matter?

Arthur Hayes bought 1,630 AAVE for roughly $442,000. Large wallet buys matter because they can trigger copy-trading and shift short-term order flow, but they do not guarantee sustained price direction.

What on-chain metrics should traders watch for AAVE?

Watch 200MA support, liquidation heatmaps, supply vs. debt metrics, and Horizon deposit growth. Monitor on-chain wallet flows and MACD momentum for signs of shifting conviction.

Key Takeaways

  • Whale activity matters: Large buys like Hayes’ 1,630 AAVE can alter short-term flow and attract copy trades.
  • 200MA is critical: Holding the 200-day moving average supports a bullish scenario; losing it risks a bearish cycle.
  • Liquidity clusters can amplify moves: Short squeezes or cascading liquidations near $270–$384 require active risk management.

Conclusion

Short-term AAVE price action is shaped by whale accumulation, technical support at the 200MA, and concentrated liquidity zones. Fundamentals—including a large supply base and Horizon RWA growth—support long-term value, but traders should watch $246 and $270 for near-term risk. Stay attentive to on-chain flows and momentum signals for the next decisive move.









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