Bitcoin Exchange Balances Fall to Six-Year Low as $14B Leaves Centralized Exchanges, Price May Extend All-Time High

• Exchange reserves hit six-year lows

• More than 114,000 BTC (~$14 billion) left centralized exchanges in the past fortnight.

• Glassnode reports 2.83M BTC on exchanges; CryptoQuant shows ~2.45M BTC, a seven-year low.

Bitcoin exchange balances tumble to six-year lows; learn why 114,000 BTC left CEXs and what it means for supply and price — read expert analysis now.

Bitcoin exchange balances plunged to six-year lows as over $14 billion left CEX platforms in a fortnight, as the asset powered to a new peak price.

Bitcoin exchange balances have fallen sharply as the asset climbed to new highs, signaling reduced available supply on centralized trading platforms. This move is driven by transfers to self-custody, institutional treasuries, and OTC flows, which historically supports upward price pressure.

What are Bitcoin exchange balances and why do they matter?

Bitcoin exchange balances measure how many BTC are held on centralized exchanges and represent the effective “available supply” for trading. A decline in exchange balances usually indicates coins moving to long-term custody or institutional holdings, reducing immediate sell pressure and potentially supporting higher prices.

How fast did exchange reserves fall and which data sources report this?

Blockchain analytics provider Glassnode reported total BTC on centralized exchanges at about 2.83 million BTC, a six-year low. CryptoQuant reports a slightly lower figure near 2.45 million BTC, which would equate to a seven-year low. Glassnode also estimates that over 114,000 BTC (~$14 billion) left exchanges in the past fortnight.

BTC balance on exchanges dropped to 2019 levels. Source: Glassnode

How are market participants reacting to dwindling exchange liquidity?

Market participants and industry experts are noting tighter liquidity on exchange books. VanEck’s head of digital assets research, Matthew Sigel, said traders are already discussing potential short-term shortages. Market chatter from OTC desks — quoted by traders — suggests some liquidity providers expect sell-side inventories to deplete quickly as futures sessions open.

What does this mean for price action and short-term outlook?

With fewer BTC available on exchanges, price formation can become more sensitive to buy-side demand. Bitcoin recently reached a new all-time high near $125,700 (Tradingview), reclaiming territory above prior peaks. Reduced exchange reserves combined with renewed buying interest helps explain the rapid move higher.

BTC prices reach a new peak. Source: Tradingview

Why are holders withdrawing BTC from exchanges?

Holders move BTC off exchanges for several reasons: self-custody for long-term storage, institutional allocations to treasuries, and OTC transfers to buyers not using public order books. When coins leave exchanges, they typically become less likely to be sold quickly, reducing available liquidity.

Are the on-chain signals consistent across analytics platforms?

Yes. While Glassnode and CryptoQuant use different classification methods, both show pronounced outflows and low exchange reserves. Discrepancies in absolute numbers reflect methodology differences; the directional signal — sharp decline in exchange-held BTC — is clear across providers.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much Bitcoin left exchanges recently?

Glassnode reports over 114,000 BTC moved off centralized exchanges in the last two weeks, valuing roughly $14 billion at recent prices.

Does low exchange balance guarantee higher prices?

Lower exchange balances reduce available sell liquidity, which can amplify price moves when buy demand increases, but price outcomes also depend on macro events and trader behavior.

Key Takeaways

• Exchange reserves are low: Centralized exchange BTC balances are at multi-year lows, tightening available supply.
• Significant outflows: More than 114,000 BTC (~$14B) left exchanges in a fortnight per Glassnode.
• Price implications: Reduced exchange liquidity can support stronger price rallies if demand persists.

Conclusion

Centralized Bitcoin exchange balances have dropped to six- to seven-year lows, driven by transfers to self-custody, institutional holdings, and OTC flows. These outflows coincide with a new price high and suggest tighter available supply. Monitor exchange reserves and on-chain metrics for signals of sustained market strength.

Published: 2025-10-05 · Updated: 2025-10-05 · Author: COINOTAG