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- Bitfinex analysts indicate that profit-taking by long-term investors could exert short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin.
- The flagship cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading sideways in the $62,000 – $63,000 range, with investors who have endured long-term declines anticipating a substantial rise.
- However, a report from Bitfinex analysts may disappoint investors.
Bitfinex analysts warn that long-term Bitcoin holders taking profits could impose significant short-term downward pressure on BTC.
Long-term Investors’ Impact on Bitcoin’s Short-Term Dynamics
According to a report by The Block, Bitfinex analysts highlight that long-term Bitcoin holders have resumed realizing profits. This could signal an upcoming wave of profit-taking, which would likely exert downward pressure on BTC’s short-term price movement.
Profit-Taking: A Key Driver of Short-Term Pressure
Long-term investors, who had paused profit-taking since early May, appear to have resumed selling their assets. Continued sales by these holders indicate that the near-term outlook for Bitcoin is weak. Data shows that long-term holders started realizing profits at higher prices than the previous cycle peak of $69,000 in Q2 2024, albeit on a smaller scale. Despite Bitcoin trading below this peak, the situation persists.
External Factors Putting Pressure on Bitcoin
In addition to long-term investors, several other external factors are affecting the BTC price. Analysts note that German government BTC sales and anticipated sales following Mt.Gox repayments are adding pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
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BTC’s Supportive Factors Amid Downward Pressure
Despite this downward pressure, there are supportive elements in play for Bitcoin. Bitfinex analysts point out a noticeable decline in miner sales and a net inflow into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which are bolstering BTC’s upward potential.
Additionally, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, a key inflation metric monitored by the Federal Reserve, remained unchanged in May. This stability has fostered optimism towards risk assets like Bitcoin.
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Conclusion
In summary, while profit-taking by long-term Bitcoin holders and other external pressures are creating short-term downward pressure on BTC, several supportive factors are also in play. The reduction in miner sales and net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, coupled with stable inflation metrics, provide a mixed outlook for Bitcoin heading into the near future.
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