Ethereum Faces Potential 10% Decline Amid Rising Selling Pressure and Increased Exchange Supply

  • Ethereum is currently facing significant downward pressure amid increasing liquidations and supply on exchanges.
  • The market sentiment is further aggravated by Bitcoin’s recent struggles, which may indicate a broader bearish trend across cryptocurrencies.
  • Recent data reveals a stark increase in Ethereum liquidations, with total liquidations exceeding $42.7 million, predominantly affecting long positions.

This article explores the recent challenges facing Ethereum, highlighting the increasing selling pressure and analysis of market trends that suggest further declines.

Ethereum Faces Downward Pressure Amid Liquidations

As the week unfolds, Ethereum has been grappling with notable selling pressure, bringing its resilience into question. Data from Coinglass indicates that Ethereum liquidations skyrocketed, surpassing $42.7 million, with approximately $40 million stemming from liquidated long positions. This surge suggests a shift in investor sentiment as many lose faith in a bullish recovery amidst market fluctuations.

Increased ETH Supply on Exchanges Raises Concerns

Supplementing these concerns, on-chain metrics from CryptoQuant show an uptick in the supply of Ether on exchanges, reaching a four-week peak of 15.8 million ETH as of October 21. The net balance of deposits and withdrawals on centralized exchanges reveals a concerning trend, with a marked increase in deposits noted between October 15 and October 20. This elevated ETH presence on exchanges typically signals that investors are moving their holdings to facilitate sales, reinforcing bearish expectations in the market.

Ethereum’s Decreasing Total Value Locked (TVL)

Moreover, Ethereum’s total value locked (TVL) has seen a significant decline since mid-June. Initially peaking at $66 billion on June 3, it has plummeted to approximately $48 billion—indicating a steep 57% downturn. This 30-day performance illustrates a troubling trend, with Ethereum outperforming only marginally against competitors such as Solana, which has thrived with a remarkable 22% increase in TVL.

Ethereum’s High Transaction Costs Deter Investment

The increasing challenges within Ethereum’s ecosystem can be partly attributed to its comparatively high transaction fees. This has deterred potential investors and developers from engaging with the network, making it difficult for Ethereum to maintain its status as a leading platform in the DeFi space. The ongoing viability of Ethereum as a top project is threatened by its ability to attract new users, especially in light of the burgeoning interest in lower-cost alternatives.

Future Outlook for ETH Price

Current analysis reveals that Ethereum’s price has been weighed down by significant selling pressure, particularly around the $2,800 mark. Following a rejection at this resistance level, the price has descended below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $2,552. As it stands, ETH is trading at approximately $2,517, reflecting over a 4% decline within the last 24 hours. There remains a slender support level at the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $2,487, though a breach here could lead to further slides toward $2,400, or even $2,330.

Potential for a Rebound

Should Ethereum find support at the 50-day SMA, it may suggest resilient buying interest at lower price points. In this scenario, bulls could attempt to lift the price back toward the key resistance level of $2,850. Meanwhile, current market conditions signal that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing oversold territory, hinting at a possible rebound for ETH in the near future.

Conclusion

In summary, Ethereum’s recent challenges, driven by increasing liquidations and an uptick in supply on exchanges, underscore a growing bearish sentiment in the market. Investors should monitor key support levels closely, as the potential for a rally exists should positive market dynamics reemerge. Future developments within the network and broader market shifts will be crucial in determining Ethereum’s trajectory moving forward.

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