Soaring revenue, record SOL/ETH, unmatched throughput – Can bulls seize Solana’s breakout?
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Solana’s breakout appeared to be more than justified as it reclaimed dominance across key metrics.
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Resurgence came on the heels of a swift rebound from recent market FUD.
Solana [SOL] made a significant move this week, surging by over 20% to hit $130. This upward momentum placed SOL ahead of many high-cap cryptocurrencies, swiftly recovering from the recent FUD that gripped the market.
Notably, Solana’s relative strength against Ethereum [ETH] became increasingly clear, with the SOL/ETH pair breaching its early-February resistance.
Supporting this outperformance, Solana’s DeFi revenue surpassed Ethereum’s all-time cumulative total, with $2.56 billion in lifetime fees compared to ETH’s $2.27 billion.
Can Solana maintain its momentum following recent market changes? Key metrics suggest a promising outlook for SOL investors.
Solana’s Q1 struggles – A look back
Solana ended Q1 with a drawdown of over 30%, underperforming most large-cap peers. In fact, the weakness wasn’t limited to its price action alone; it extended to structural metrics as well.
Notably, SOL forfeited its $100 billion market cap threshold, slipping behind Binance Coin [BNB] to become the sixth-largest crypto asset.
Furthermore, on-chain flows showed millions of SOL tokens being unstaked, triggering a supply overhang. This coincided with aggressive whale distribution patterns, tipping the balance decisively towards sell-side dominance.
Source: Glassnode
In short, Q1 marked a period of sustained structural unwinding for SOL, with bearish liquidity dynamics overpowering any signs of bullish absorption. A trend reversal is now critical to validate the patience of both short and long-term holders (HODLers) who navigated through this high-volatility FUD cycle.
Solana’s on-chain dynamics, with Total Value Locked (TVL) spiking to an April high of $8.54 billion, seemed to hint at a potential turning point at press time.
Months-long patience finally about to pay off?
With Solana reclaiming its earlier dominance across both technical and on-chain fronts, speculation is mounting around a potential breakout. While the setup might be increasingly constructive, a decisive move still requires validation.
Notably, Solana’s HODLer Net Position Change flipped firmly into positive territory. This indicated sustained net inflows into long-term wallets.
In fact, the press time market trend marked the longest accumulation streak in over six months – Reflecting rising conviction in Solana’s macro narrative.
Source: Glassnode
Historically, such structural accumulation phases have aligned with cyclical bottoms, often preceding impulse rallies. However, unlike previous cycles, the divergence between long-term accumulation and retail dormancy has been notable. Specifically, new address creation declined to a six-month low. This reflected subdued grassroots participation.
In effect, Solana may be undergoing a phase of structural reaccumulation, with the near-term price action likely to remain range-bound until retail activation resumes. Until then, long-term holders will continue to shoulder the weight of market inertia – with their patience likely to face further tests.
Conclusion
In summary, while Solana’s recent breakout poses promising indicators for the bulls, sustained structural changes and retail participation are pivotal for continued growth. Investors should remain vigilant, as Solana navigates through both opportunities and challenges ahead. The patience of both short and long-term holders may finally be rewarded if positive trends continue.
