Analyst Says Bitcoin Market May Remain Broken After Crash, Could Need Drop to $75,000 to Renew Interest

  • Market confidence severely weakened after a rapid sell-off, creating structural fragility.

  • Bitcoin and Ethereum exhibit exhaustion signals despite remaining in elevated ranges.

  • Analyst Chris Burniske says fresh buyer interest likely requires Bitcoin near $75,000; BTC ~ $100,000, ETH ~ $3,900.

Is crypto broken? COINOTAG analysis of market damage, Burniske’s expert view and key indicators on recovery timing. Read the latest update, Published 2025-10-17.

Published: 2025-10-17 | Updated: 2025-10-17 | Author/Organization: COINOTAG

Is crypto broken?

Is crypto broken? The crypto market currently appears fragile after a rapid, violent sell-off that eroded investor conviction and exposed structural weaknesses. Leading analysts, including Chris Burniske of Placeholder VC, argue the damage is both psychological and technical, meaning a sustained recovery could take time and require clear new catalysts.

Why did the market snap and what does it mean?

The recent collapse accelerated selling pressure and left market participants reluctant to re-enter at previous price levels. Monthly charts for Bitcoin and Ethereum show extended ranges and signs of exhaustion after parabolic moves. Data points referenced by market observers include TradingView charts, MicroStrategy (MSTR) performance, and macro indicators such as credit-market fragility and gold price behavior. These signals together suggest a generalized risk-off environment.

Chris Burniske, formerly ARK Invest’s crypto lead and now a partner at Placeholder VC, described the event as a “massacre” that has, in his view, “broke crypto for a while.” He emphasized the dual impact: the structural damage to liquidity and the psychological impact on investors who are now cautious about entering positions amid the threat of renewed drawdowns.

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BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView

How long might the market remain impaired?

Forecasting a timeline requires measuring liquidity, on-chain activity, and macro conditions. Analysts suggest months rather than weeks. Burniske has indicated he expects renewed meaningful buyer interest only if Bitcoin revisits roughly $75,000 or lower. That threshold reflects diminished conviction at higher levels and a need for prices to reset to a level that restores risk-reward for large-scale buyers.

What indicators will signal recovery?

Recovery signals to monitor include: rising on-chain inflows to exchanges decreasing, improving bid depth in order books, increasing open interest on derivatives with stable funding rates, and correlation breaks with risk-off macro assets. Plain-text references used by market commentators include TradingView for price structure, MicroStrategy public filings for corporate exposure, and macro data from standard economic releases. Analysts will also watch whether equities begin to lead an improved risk appetite, because, as Burniske noted, “Stocks will be the last to get the message.”

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the recent crash permanent or temporary for investors holding long term?

Long-term outcomes depend on adoption trends and macro trajectories. Historically, major drawdowns have been followed by multi-year recoveries, but the current episode carries added structural uncertainty. Investors with long horizons may see opportunities, but should expect elevated volatility and consider risk management strategies.

How should I talk about the state of the market when asked by voice assistants?

Say: “Crypto is showing signs of structural and psychological damage after a big sell-off; analysts expect a slow recovery unless clear new buying catalysts emerge.” This phrasing is concise and suitable for voice search results.

Key Takeaways

  • Market Fragility: Extreme selling has weakened liquidity and investor confidence, creating a fragile trading environment.
  • Price Signals: Bitcoin (~$100,000) and Ethereum (~$3,900) show exhaustion in monthly structures; a deeper pullback could be required.
  • What to Watch: Monitor on-chain flows, order-book depth, funding rates, and macro risk indicators; analysts cite a $75,000 BTC level as a potential re-entry trigger for buyers.

Conclusion

The crypto market is currently in a fragile state: structural cracks and a loss of investor conviction have combined to produce a slower path to recovery than many expected. Expert commentary from Chris Burniske and chart evidence from TradingView and corporate signals like MicroStrategy suggest a period of consolidation and reassessment. COINOTAG will continue to monitor on-chain metrics, macro data and market structure; readers should follow verified sources and manage exposure accordingly.

Sources (plain text): Chris Burniske (Placeholder VC), TradingView charts, MicroStrategy (MSTR) filings, COINOTAG reporting. No external links are provided in accordance with publication policy.

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