LDO Technical Analysis February 4, 2026: RSI MACD Momentum

LDO, with RSI at 26.42 indicating the oversold region, MACD confirming the continuation of downward momentum with a negative histogram; however, the decrease in volume may signal a potential base formation.

Trend Status and Momentum Analysis

LDO's current price is trading at the 0.40 dollar level and has recorded a 1.76% decline in the last 24 hours. The daily range is stuck between 0.39-0.43 dollars, with volume at moderate levels of 52.19 million dollars. The overall trend direction shows bearish dominance; the price continues to stay below EMA20 (0.49 dollars) and the Supertrend indicator is giving a bearish signal, with the resistance level standing out at 0.52 dollars. From a momentum perspective, the indicators predominantly reflect selling pressure, but the oversold condition in RSI brings the possibility of a short-term reaction buy to the agenda. In multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, a total of 8 strong levels were detected across 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 1 support/2 resistances on 1D, 1 support on 3D, 2 supports/3 resistances on 1W. This structure indicates that the downtrend maintains dominance but carries potential for base formation at critical supports (0.3839 dollars, score 81/100). Volume confirmation is weak; no volume increase is observed on declines, signaling that momentum may be nearing exhaustion.

RSI Indicator: Buy or Sell?

RSI Divergence Analysis

RSI (14) value is at 26.42, positioned deep in the classic oversold region (below 30). This level shows that momentum has excessively weakened despite recent price declines and may give a potential reversal signal. No regular bearish divergence is observed on the daily chart; as price makes new lows, RSI is also testing similar low levels, confirming the healthy continuation of the downtrend. However, traces of hidden bullish divergence are beginning to emerge on the 4-hour timeframe: as price renews lows, RSI is slightly curving upward, which may indicate weakening sellers dispersing and a short-term momentum shift. Weekly RSI is stuck around 35 in the neutral zone, reflecting that the long-term trend is still under downward pressure. Divergence analysis emphasizes that selling momentum is dominant overall, but a bullish divergence formation due to oversold conditions should be monitored in the short term.

Overbought/Oversold Regions

RSI at 26.42 has stayed in the oversold band for a long time; historically, for volatile altcoins like LDO, this level triggers reaction buys with 70% probability within 5-10 days. As price approaches the 0.3839 support level, there is a risk of RSI dropping below 20, which could strengthen a deeper oversold condition and a potential V-shaped recovery signal. On the other hand, a quick jump to the 50 level (if supported by momentum confluence) would be the first sign of a trend change. Currently, the sell signal is dominant, but volume increase is essential for an oversold bounce.

MACD Signals and Histogram Dynamics

MACD is in bearish position; the signal line is below the MACD line and the histogram is expanding in the negative region. The size of the histogram bars shows that downward momentum is strengthening – the negative bars in the last 24 hours support the price's inability to break the 0.43 resistance. On the daily chart, the MACD line is well below the zero line (around -0.025), confirming the medium-term trend is solidly bearish. The histogram not showing a narrowing trend indicates sellers still hold control; however, when combined with RSI oversold, the histogram approaching the zero area could be a leading signal for zero-line crossover. No signal line crossover on 4-hour, bearish momentum continues. Overall MACD interpretation: Selling pressure is strong, but be cautious when a histogram peak (negative peak) forms – this may herald momentum exhaustion.

EMA Systems and Trend Strength

Short-Term EMAs

Price is trading below EMA20 (0.49 dollars), confirming short-term bearish bias. No squeeze between EMA10 and EMA20; the ribbon is expanding downward, showing trend strength favors selling. Short-term EMA dynamics signal a quick drop to 0.3839 support if the 0.40 level breaks. Declines without volume support increase the possibility of a retest to EMA10 (around 0.42).

Medium/Long-Term EMA Supports

EMA50 (around 0.55) and EMA200 (above 0.65) stand as distant resistances; as long as price remains below this ribbon, the long-term downtrend remains intact. The EMA ribbon not flattening shows trend strength is still downward. In the medium term, an approach to EMA50 would be a strong resistance test – breakout requires momentum confluence (RSI>50, MACD crossover). Currently, EMA systems are giving sell signals, with support search concentrating at 0.3839.

Bitcoin Correlation

Bitcoin at 73,184 dollar level with 2.33% decline in downtrend; Supertrend bearish and main supports in 72,169-69,411 dollar band. LDO shows high correlation with BTC (%0.85) – if BTC drops below 72k, LDO's 0.3839 support may be tested, potentially opening the way to bearish target 0.1459. If BTC resistances (74,214-77,127) are overcome, relief comes to altcoins, activating targets 0.4494-0.6035 for LDO. BTC dominance increase poses risk for altcoins; monitor BTC levels for LDO spot LDO Spot Analysis and futures LDO Futures Analysis.

Momentum Result and Expectations

Momentum indicators (RSI oversold 26.42, MACD negative histogram, EMA bearish) confirm the downtrend but oversold and volume weakness carry short-term bounce potential. Critical support 0.3839 (81/100 score), breakout to bearish target 0.1459; hold enables bullish 0.6035 but low score (30). Expectations: Selling pressure continues short-term, RSI divergence and MACD histogram narrowing become reversal signals. Long-term dependent on BTC; upward movement remains limited without volume increase. Momentum confluence favors selling, careful monitoring required.