TWT Technical Analysis February 10, 2026: Market Structure

TWT is exhibiting a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows (LH/LL) structure; breaking the $0.4822 support signals trend continuation, while breaking the $0.5785 resistance indicates a structure break (BOS).

Market Structure Overview

TWT's current market structure shows a consistent downtrend across 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes. With price trading at $0.49, it has dropped %5.41 in the last 24 hours and is stuck in the $0.48-$0.54 range. This structure confirms the lower highs/lower lows (LH/LL) pattern instead of higher highs/higher lows (HH/HL); connections between recent swing highs and lows reinforce bearish momentum. Supertrend is giving a bearish signal, and as long as price remains below EMA20 ($0.68), the short-term bearish outlook dominates. Although RSI at 18.87 is in the oversold region, MACD with a negative histogram provides no strong sign of trend reversal yet. Multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis identifies 7 strong levels: 1 support/1 resistance on 1D, 1 support/2 resistances on 3D, 2 supports/3 resistances on 1W. This distribution indicates resistances outweighing for upward movement and the overall structure being downtrend-focused. Market structure analysis is based on the trend being bullish with HH/HL and bearish with LH/LL; TWT is currently in the bearish box with LH/LL.

Trend Analysis: Uptrend or Downtrend?

Uptrend Signals

For an uptrend, the HH/HL structure must form: each new swing high above the previous high, and each swing low above the previous low. TWT currently lacks this; however, if $0.4822 support holds and price breaks $0.5785, the first HH could form. RSI at a low level like 18.87 signals an oversold condition for a potential bounce, but HH/HL is not confirmed without breaking EMA20 ($0.68). Bullish continuation target is $0.8971 (score 42/100), but remains speculative with low probability. In the short term, a bounce above the $0.54 range could start HH, but overall MTF resistances may limit it.

Downtrend Risk

The downtrend is clear with LH/LL: as long as the latest swing high remains below $0.5785, lower highs continue, and below $0.4822 triggers lower lows. MACD is bearish and Supertrend resistance at $0.68 is strong. The 24h %5.41 drop confirmed the $0.48 test; bearish breakdown target is $0.0599 (score 21/100). On 1W timeframe, 3 resistances/2 supports are favorable for downside. Trend reversal should not be expected without the LH/LL structure breaking (i.e., without a new swing high above $0.5785). This pattern shows buyer weakness and seller dominance; price consolidation in the current range may be preparing the next LH.

Structure Break (BOS) Levels

Structure break (Break of Structure - BOS) confirms trend change: for bullish BOS, a close above the latest swing high ($0.5785) is required; this breaks LH/LL and signals transition to HH/HL. Bearish BOS strengthens LH/LL with a close below the latest swing low ($0.4822). Key levels: Support $0.4822 (score 79/100, strong), breaking it accelerates drop below $0.48. Resistance $0.5785 (score 65/100), breaking it targets EMA20 $0.68 and $0.8971. In MTF, 3D/1W resistances (likely around $0.68) add barriers; trading without BOS is risky. For Change of Character (CHoCH), displacement (rapid move) is expected after BOS – in the current structure, bearish BOS is closer.

Swing Points and Their Importance

Latest Swing Highs

Latest swing high $0.5785 is the key to the LH pattern (score 65/100). This level confirms the downtrend by staying below previous highs. Breaking it signals bullish BOS; staying below targets new LH in the $0.54-$0.54 range. Swing points are the building blocks of market structure: highs act as resistance, breaks indicate trend shift. For TWT, $0.68 Supertrend should also be monitored as a swing extension.

Latest Swing Lows

Latest swing low $0.4822 is critical support (score 79/100). If this level holds HL, trend continuation is limited; breaking it forms LL and increases bearish momentum. Although above previous lows, it is weak within the overall LH/LL. Swing lows serve as support; holding encourages buyers, breaking triggers panic selling. $0.48 was tested, volume increase is required for hold.

Bitcoin Correlation

While BTC at $69,000 is slightly recovering +%0.51, it remains in a general downtrend; Supertrend bearish with main supports at $65,850/$62,180. Altcoins like TWT are highly correlated to BTC (%80+), BTC downside crushes alts – if BTC resistances $70,183/$73,808 are not broken, TWT $0.4822 risk increases. If BTC drops below $65,850, TWT bearish BOS is triggered; above $70,183 provides relief for TWT ($0.5785 BOS chance). BTC Dominance rise is negative for alts; BTC levels to watch: Support $65,850 (TWT support correlation), Resistance $70,183.

Structural Outlook and Expectations

The overall structure is downtrend-focused with bearish LH/LL; holding above $0.4822 leads to consolidation, breaking below to deep downside. Bullish requires $0.5785 BOS, with BTC support. Follow the structure in TWT Spot Analysis and TWT Futures Analysis. Structure analysis defines probabilities: BOS levels are trade triggers. Note: No news, technicals dominate.