VIRTUAL Market Commentary: 23 January 2026 Sideways Movement Continues, Critical Support Test

VIRTUAL is progressing in a sideways movement stuck around 0.85 dollars, showing a slight recovery of 2.63% in the last 24 hours. However, while RSI at 44.76 level creates neutral pressure and MACD gives a bearish signal, the strong support line at 0.8077 dollars should be closely monitored; its break could trigger downward momentum.

Market Outlook and Current Situation

The VIRTUAL market is moving within a clear sideways trend on the daily timeframe. With the current price positioned at 0.85 dollars, the 24-hour range stayed within the 0.82-0.88 dollar band, and trading volume reached 86.72 million dollars. Although this volume shows a modest increase compared to previous days, it remains insufficient to confirm the trend's strength. The market continues to stay below the short-term EMA20 (0.90 dollars), giving bearish short-term signals. The Supertrend indicator also points to the 1.11 dollar resistance, approaching upward movements cautiously.

According to multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence analysis, a total of 12 strong levels were identified across the 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 2 supports and 1 resistance on 1D, 1 support and 3 resistances on 3D, and 3 supports and 2 resistances on 1W standing out. This distribution indicates the market is experiencing unbalanced consolidation. The lack of notable developments in the news flow emphasizes that technical factors are at the forefront. Investors can conduct detailed position reviews through VIRTUAL spot analyses.

In the broader crypto ecosystem, Bitcoin's downtrend pressure is making sideways movements in altcoins even more complex. VIRTUAL's failure to pass resistance tests in this environment highlights the difficulty of upward breakouts without volume increase. Market participants should be prepared for potential volatility.

Technical Analysis: Levels to Watch

Support Zones

The strongest support level stands out at 0.8077 dollars (score: 79/100); this level is one of the confluence points on the daily and weekly charts. Positioned near the bottom of the recent downward wave, it could give a recovery signal if it holds during a volume-tested probe. The second critical support is at 0.7347 dollars (score: 63/100); this level plays a more prominent role on the 3D timeframe, and its break could gain momentum toward bearish targets. These supports form the lower bands in MTF analysis, outlining the limits of potential pullbacks.

Resistance Barriers

On the upside, 0.9028 dollars (score: 76/100) stands as the most critical resistance; overlapping with EMA20, this level reinforces the short-term bearish structure. The 1.11 dollars pointed to by Supertrend is a longer-term barrier. Overcoming these resistances requires a clear volume increase and momentum confirmation; otherwise, sideways movement may extend. Investors can reference these levels in leveraged strategies via VIRTUAL futures.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

RSI is hovering in the neutral zone at 44.76; although not oversold, staying above 30 opens the door to short-term recoveries. While the MACD's negative histogram maintains its dominance, the bearish divergence between the signal line and price is noteworthy. This situation indicates weak trend strength and a need for potential momentum shift. In the EMA hierarchy, the price remaining below EMA20 confirms the short-term bearish bias; EMA50 and EMA200 are trading horizontally higher, reflecting overall trend uncertainty.

The Supertrend indicator is in bearish mode, emphasizing the 1.11 dollar resistance, and the volume profile shows buyers falling short. In MTF confluence, resistance weight (6R vs 6S) limits upside potential. Trend strength analysis confirms weak momentum with the ADX indicator's low reading (around 20); this could signal consolidation before explosive moves. Overall, while indicators paint a balanced picture, bearish biases prevail.

Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook

In terms of risk/reward ratio, there's an unbalanced structure between the bullish target at 1.4145 dollars (score:31) and bearish at 0.2834 dollars (score:22); from the current 0.85 level, bullish R/R is approximately 1:1.66, bearish around 1:2.4. If the sideways trend continues and the 0.8077 support breaks, downside risk increases; if it holds, a test toward 0.90 resistance may come. With low volatility, sudden BTC moves could impact altcoins. The professional outlook is cautious short-term; resistance confirmation for longs, support breakdown for shorts should be awaited.

Market risk is high; liquidity remains limited with low volume, and macro factors (e.g., Fed policies) could create indirect effects. In a balanced scenario, sideways movement extends, in a positive breakout 1.11 is targeted, in negative 0.73 is tested. Always do your own research before acting.

Bitcoin Correlation

Bitcoin is under downtrend pressure at 89,982 dollars level, showing only a limited 0.90% recovery in the last 24 hours while Supertrend gives a bearish signal. BTC's main supports are at 88,379, 86,644, and 84,681 dollars; resistances at 90,901, 92,337, and 94,276 dollars. This downtrend creates pressure on altcoins; given VIRTUAL's high BTC correlation (typical altcoin behavior), if BTC drops below 88k, the 0.80 support test in VIRTUAL accelerates. Conversely, if BTC breaks above 90k resistance, an altcoin rally could be triggered, but current BTC dominance gives a caution signal.