Bitcoin returned its gains in the wake of Grayscale’s victory. Source- K33 Research
The crypto world might be on the cusp of a significant shift. The underlying potential of a spot Bitcoin ETF’s approval seems to be gravely undervalued by the market, argue analysts from the reputable crypto research entity, K33. With their origins rooted in Arcane Research, K33’s latest market report, penned on Sept. 5 by senior analyst Vetle Lunde and vice president Anders Helseth, suggests that recent events have dramatically improved the likelihood of a spot Bitcoin ETF’s nod of approval. Interestingly, this optimism isn’t currently mirrored in Bitcoin or other primary crypto asset prices.
Spot ETF Approvals: A Game-Changer for Bitcoin?
While Bitcoin’s price trajectory post Grayscale’s legal triumph over the SEC might seem bleak, the analysts assert that an ETF’s approval could catalyze monumental inflows, exerting substantial buying pressure on Bitcoin. On the flip side, should a spot ETF face rejection, the ramifications on Bitcoin’s price are anticipated to be minimal. Lunde and Helseth emphasize the glaring disparity between the market’s perspective on ETFs and the actual likelihood of their approval — a sentiment echoed by several Bloomberg analysts who project a 75% approval possibility within this year. “The market’s stance is fundamentally flawed,” argues Lunde, asserting the current scenario as a prime buying opportunity for investors.
A Broader Market Sentiment
Supporting their bullish prognosis, the duo points to the recent 2% uptick in the Nasdaq-100 index, typically perceived as a barometer for the overarching market’s risk appetite. This, they believe, signals a larger trend of optimism and could act as an undercurrent for Bitcoin’s future trajectory.
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Ethereum’s Promising Horizon
Besides Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH) also finds itself under the analysts’ bullish spotlight. Lunde and Helseth convey a promising outlook for Ethereum, forecasting it to overshadow Bitcoin in performance over the subsequent two months. This anticipation stems from the momentum building up towards a futures-based ETF listing for Ethereum. Drawing parallels, they highlight Bitcoin’s impressive 60% appreciation in the weeks leading to the debut of its first futures-based ETF on Oct. 19, 2021. An analogous path might be in store for Ethereum, especially with mid-October set to deliver a verdict on a futures-based Ether ETF, which is purportedly in line to receive the SEC’s endorsement.
Conclusion
As the crypto arena awaits the pivotal decisions on ETF listings, the landscape is rife with predictions and anticipations. While the market might currently seem reserved in its optimism, analysts like Lunde and Helseth present a compelling case for a more bullish future, especially for giants like Bitcoin and Ethereum. With ETFs potentially acting as significant catalysts, the crypto space might be gearing up for exciting times ahead.
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