Analysts Suggest Ethereum Could Repeat 2021 Setup, $1,800–$4,000 Support May Precede a Move Toward $10,000

• Merlijn The Trader: 2021-style setup may push ETH past $10,000 by late 2025.

• EtherNasyonal: 2024–2025 breakout above $3,800 converts that zone into critical support.

• Technical focus: $1,800–$2,000 and $3,800–$4,000 define bull/bear thresholds with historical precedent.

Ethereum price outlook: Analysts flag $1,800–$2,000 and $3,800–$4,000 as key supports; watch these levels for a potential $10,000 run. Read more.

What is the Ethereum price outlook for 2025?

Ethereum price outlook shows analysts comparing 2025 market structure to earlier cycles; the immediate focus is on support between $1,800–$2,000 and a confirmed breakout-retention above $3,800 that could validate a sustained rally toward higher targets.

Analysts compare Ethereum’s 2025 setup to past cycles, noting key support levels that could lead to a potential run toward $10,000.

• Merlijn The Trader sees Ethereum repeating its 2018–2021 setup, predicting a possible surge beyond $10,000 by late 2025.
• EtherNasyonal notes Ethereum’s 2024 breakout above $3,800, calling the zone a key support for sustaining further gains.
• Analysts stress $1,800–$2,000 and $3,800–$4,000 as the key levels that could determine Ethereum’s next market move.

Ethereum’s latest market structure has drawn strong comparisons to past cycles, with analysts pointing to historical setups that once fueled exponential gains. According to market analyst Merlijn The Trader, Ethereum appears to have completed a pattern similar to 2018–2021.

Between 2018 and 2021, Ethereum consolidated near lower price bands before a rapid breakout that carried the asset from roughly $200 to over $4,000 within a year. Merlijn highlights institutional participation in the current cycle as an amplifying factor.

How does the 2021 breakout model reappear in 2025?

From 2018 to 2020, Ethereum underwent a prolonged accumulation phase near $100–$200, followed by a defining “Final Retest” that preceded the 2021 parabolic leg. The present pattern shows a comparable sequence: a recovery near $2,000, a revisit of $1,500–$2,000 support, then a renewed advance.

Merlijn labels the current phase a potential “Final Retest.” If this support holds, historical analogues suggest a rapid appreciation phase could follow, with targets above $10,000 cited in technical projections for late 2025 or early 2026.

Why is the $3,800 breakout important?

Analyst EtherNasyonal compares the 2024–2025 price action to Ethereum’s 2016–2017 setup, where a prolonged consolidation under a resistance band preceded a sharp breakout and retest. In 2025, clearing the $3,500–$3,800 resistance and holding $3,800–$4,000 as support is the technical confirmation traders seek.

After clearing $3,800, Ethereum climbed toward $4,200–$4,300 in early 2025. EtherNasyonal argues that the $3,800–$4,000 range must now function as support to validate continuation of the breakout and reduce the probability of a false move.

Key Takeaways

• Pattern repeat potential: 2025 shows similarities to the 2018–2021 cycle, implying large upside if support holds.
• Critical support bands: $1,800–$2,000 and $3,800–$4,000 determine structural bullishness.
• Actionable insight: Monitor retests of $3,800 and institutional flows; confirmation above this zone raises probability of higher targets.

Frequently Asked Questions

What levels should traders watch for Ethereum in late 2025?

Traders should watch support at $1,800–$2,000 and the breakout-turned-support zone at $3,800–$4,000. Holding these levels increases the likelihood of a sustained rally.

How credible are the $10,000 projections?

$10,000 projections are scenario-based and hinge on structured breakouts, macro liquidity, and institutional participation; they are plausible if historical patterns repeat and critical supports hold.

Conclusion

The Ethereum price outlook for late 2025 centers on classical breakout and retest behavior. Maintaining $1,800–$2,000 and converting $3,800–$4,000 into durable support remain the clearest signals for a higher trajectory; traders should prioritize those levels while monitoring volume and institutional flow. For ongoing coverage, follow COINOTAG updates.