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AVAX price fell ~5% in 24 hours amid a broad market pullback, but rising on-chain volume, whale accumulation and growing development activity on Avalanche suggest a potential reversal if key technical support near the 0.75 Fib and the 200 EMA holds.
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Whales accumulated ~200K AVAX and moved $12M to an exchange wallet
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On-chain volume rose by $200 million, with DEX trades ≈33% of daily volume
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Smart contract count tripled year-over-year; total burned AVAX reached 4.8M
AVAX price: Avalanche dips 5% as whales buy in; monitor on-chain volume and 200 EMA for reversal—read the latest on-chain data and trading cues.
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What is driving the AVAX price drop?
AVAX price fell roughly 5% in the last 24 hours as the broader crypto market corrected following recent bullish momentum. Short-term selling pressure coincided with profit-taking, while elevated on-chain buying suggests informed accumulation beneath key technical levels.
How significant is whale activity on Avalanche?
Blockchain analytics show a large whale purchase of about 200,000 AVAX (~$6 million) in 24 hours and a separate transfer of roughly $12 million to a Coinbase wallet. These moves indicate accumulation and potential liquidity rotation. Source: Arkham (data referenced as plain text).
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Avalanche (AVAX) has seen heightened on-chain engagement despite the price dip. Over the past day, AVAX dropped 5%, extending a weekly decline near 7%. However, the pullback coincided with strong buy-ins that often mark the start of trend reversals when paired with rising activity.
Why is on-chain activity rising for Avalanche?
On-chain metrics show a $200 million increase in trading volume, pushing cumulative daily volume past significant thresholds. Decentralized exchange (DEX) trades accounted for approximately 33% of the total daily volume, highlighting retail and protocol-level participation. Source: DefiLlama (plain text reference).
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What development signals support a bullish outlook?
Development activity is climbing: the number of smart contracts in Avalanche’s ecosystem has more than tripled year-over-year to over 44 million cumulative contracts. The total burned AVAX hit 4.8 million, with an average burn of ~1,250 tokens per day since mid-July, tightening supply.
Will AVAX price reverse and how can traders watch it?
Technically, AVAX broke a narrowing rising wedge and fell below the 200 EMA on the four-hour chart. Price is stabilizing near the 0.75 Fibonacci retracement level—often a zone for reversals. Reclaiming the 200 EMA would strengthen a bullish case; failure could lead to a retest of $26 and the recent $22–$26 range.
Traders should monitor: 1) reclaim of the 200 EMA, 2) sustained DEX share above ~30%, 3) continued whale accumulation and net burn trends. A blockchain analyst at COINOTAG notes that coordinated on-chain and technical signals increase the probability of a meaningful bounce.
How could investors interpret the current data?
Short-term traders may view the 0.75 Fib zone as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, while longer-term investors should weigh growing development activity and supply burns as constructive fundamentals for Avalanche’s ecosystem growth.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVAX price likely to recover soon?
Possible—if AVAX reclaims the 200 EMA and on-chain volume remains elevated, a reversal is plausible. Watch whale accumulation and Fib support for confirmation within the next 1–2 weeks.
How much did whales buy and where was the liquidity moved?
Arkham data indicated a whale purchased ~200,000 AVAX (~$6M) and another transfer of about $12M was moved into a Coinbase wallet. These actions signal both accumulation and exchange liquidity inflows.
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What on-chain metrics matter most for AVAX?
Key metrics include daily trading volume, DEX share of volume, burn rate, smart contract growth, and large transfer patterns. Combined, they give a clearer picture of demand and network health.
Key Takeaways
- Price action: AVAX slipped ~5% in 24 hours amid a market correction.
- On-chain strength: $200M uptick in volume and DEX trades ≈33% of total volume.
- Signals to watch: 200 EMA reclamation, continued whale buys, and burn rate trends.
Conclusion
AVAX price pulled back through technical support but rising on-chain volume, whale accumulation and growing development activity point to an improving fundamental backdrop. Monitor the 200 EMA and Fib support for reversal confirmation; COINOTAG will update its coverage as fresh data arrives.
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How to watch AVAX for a potential reversal
- Check if AVAX reclaims the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart.
- Verify DEX volume share remains near or above 30% and total volume stays elevated.
- Track whale transfers and net burn to confirm sustained demand and reduced supply.
- Use a stop-loss below the $22–$26 range if entering long on a bounce.

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Source: Arkham

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Source: DefiLlama

Source: TradingView
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