AVAX Price Analysis: Avalanche Faces High Volatility After Bearish Break Below 200-Day EMA

• Avalanche (AVAX) recently experienced increased volatility following a significant bearish trend.
• The crypto’s bull vs bear ratio suggests a possible rebound is on the horizon.
• After hitting its highest point in nearly two years in March 2024, AVAX took a downward turn, breaking past critical support levels.

Discover the intricate balance of market forces impacting Avalanche (AVAX) as it navigates a volatile landscape, with insights into potential bullish breaks and bearish declines.

Avalanche’s Downtrend and Critical Support Levels

Avalanche’s price action took a notable bearish turn after reaching a high of $64.5 in mid-March 2024. This sharp decline forced AVAX below several pivotal support levels, including the 200-day EMA, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The cryptocurrency was trading at $25.6 at press time, reflecting a 3% decrease over the previous day. With AVAX now positioned within a low liquidity zone, a significant price movement could be on the horizon.

Historical Price Movements and Key Resistance Levels

Starting from October 2023 to March 2024, AVAX saw an impressive rally, surging by approximately 585% and reaching its two-year high of $64.5. During April to June, the altcoin entered a consolidation phase in the $31-$40 range, largely dominated by sellers. As these pressures mounted, AVAX formed a falling wedge pattern, culminating in a minor bullish breakout at the $24.4 support level. However, the 20 EMA has been a consistent resistance, and the death cross formed by the 20 and 50 EMAs below the 200 EMA suggests bearish momentum might persist.

Current Market Indicators and Technical Analysis

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the critical 50 level, indicating seller dominance in the market. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has yet to show a positive crossover above its equilibrium, reaffirming the bearish outlook. Despite these indications, a sustained move above the 20/50 EMAs could provide the buyers with needed strength, with the 200 EMA acting as a formidable resistance level. A drop below the $24 support could open the path for further declines, potentially targeting the $17-$19 support range.

Bullish Sentiments Amidst Bearish Trends

Data from IntoTheBlock suggests an ongoing net buying interest among major investors, with seven-day bull counts (147) marginally outnumbering bears (142). Those categorized as ‘bulls’ have purchased over 1% of the total volume, indicating positive sentiment among large buyers. This notable activity could potentially aid in reclaiming a bullish stance for AVAX.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Avalanche’s current market conditions reflect a complex interplay of bullish and bearish forces. Despite the ongoing bearish trends and critical resistance levels, net buying activity by large players suggests possible recovery avenues. Investors should keep a close watch on the 20/50 EMAs and the $24 support level, as breaches in these areas could significantly influence AVAX’s price trajectory moving forward.