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Bitcoin’s brief recovery above $112,000 suggests the Bitcoin bull market remains intact: on‑chain metrics like MVRV and long‑term holder behavior show consolidation, not capitulation, indicating potential groundwork for another major upward leg in the cycle.
Bitcoin reclaimed a 24‑hour high above $112,000, signaling short‑term resilience.
On‑chain data (MVRV, long‑term holder behavior) points to consolidation rather than market terminal stages.
Two recent liquidation events wiped out over $4 billion in long positions, yet sentiment rose to “Neutral” on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
Bitcoin bull market signals strengthen as BTC reclaims $112K; read analysis and actions to consider. Stay informed with COINOTAG updates.
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Bitcoin briefly surpassed $112,000 early on Monday in a sign of recovery after a volatile week, with an analyst saying the cryptocurrency’s “bull market is not over.”
A Bitcoin analyst has argued that Bitcoin is still in a bull market as it briefly recovered to over $112,000 on Monday after a week of major volatility. Front‑loaded price action and on‑chain metrics support the view that recent declines were corrective, not terminal.
What happened when Bitcoin briefly topped $112,000?
Bitcoin (BTC) hit a 24‑hour high of $112,293 in early trading on Monday, surpassing $112,000 for the first time since sharply falling on Thursday. It is currently trading at $111,835 per CoinGecko price data, showing a rapid intraday recovery.
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Why do analysts say the bull market is “not over”?
Crypto investment firm XWIN Research Japan, cited in a CryptoQuant note, said that on‑chain data continues to suggest that Bitcoin’s bull market is not over. Long‑term holder behavior and the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio together indicate underlying resilience.
MVRV has dropped to around 2, with the average cost basis roughly half of current prices. Historically, that range has reflected consolidation and set the stage for later expansion phases, according to XWIN Research Japan and CryptoQuant data.
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Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio (purple) compared to its price (black) since late 2024. Source: CryptoQuant
How did liquidations affect market structure last week?
Two major liquidation events wiped out over $4 billion in long positions across the crypto market during the past seven days. The first, on Monday, Sept. 22, erased just under $3 billion as Bitcoin slipped below $112,000. The second event on Thursday removed roughly $1 billion more.
Per CoinGlass data, Bitcoin accounted for the largest share of the Sept. 22 liquidations with $726 million in longs erased, while Ether (ETH) led the Thursday liquidations with $413 million wiped out. These events reflect heavy leverage and short‑term positioning, not long‑term selling pressure.
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The amount of long liquidations across the market surged on Monday, Sept. 22, and Thursday as Bitcoin fell. Source: CoinGlass
How is market sentiment evolving after the sell‑off?
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index rose to a Neutral score of 50 on Monday, up 13 points from Sunday, indicating improving sentiment after a period of Fear. The index has climbed from a low of 28 on Friday, its weakest reading since mid‑April.
Sentiment recovery combined with falling long‑term investor profit taking helps reduce effective supply, which can create conditions for renewed demand to lift prices higher, XWIN Research Japan notes.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Bitcoin’s recent drop a sign of a cycle top?
Not necessarily. Historical patterns and current MVRV levels suggest the decline was a corrective pullback within an ongoing uptrend rather than a definitive cycle top. Consolidation often precedes further expansion.
Should traders expect more sharp corrections before new highs?
Yes. Analysts warn that volatility and interim corrections are common before new all‑time highs, especially when leverage is present in the market. Risk management is essential.
On‑chain signals: MVRV near 2 and long‑term holder metrics point to consolidation, not capitulation.
Market dynamics: Two major liquidations erased over $4 billion in longs, but sentiment moved from Fear to Neutral.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s recovery above $112K and supportive on‑chain metrics suggest the bull market may still be intact. While heavy liquidations highlight ongoing volatility, MVRV and long‑term holder behavior imply consolidation is occurring beneath the surface. Monitor on‑chain indicators and sentiment for confirmation, and follow COINOTAG for timely updates.
Author: COINOTAG | Published: 2025‑09‑29 | Sources: CryptoQuant, CoinGecko, CoinGlass, Crypto Fear & Greed Index, XWIN Research Japan (mentioned as plain text).
