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Bitcoin Could Face Correction Toward $100,000 Amid Macroeconomic Concerns, Analyst Suggests


  • Arthur Hayes links crypto pullback to economic fragility and tariff fears.

  • He sold over $13 million in ETH, ENA, and PEPE tokens amid market uncertainty.

  • Bitcoin faces an 18.7% correction risk, while some analysts argue volatility is decreasing post-ETF filings.

Bitcoin and Ether face pressure amid economic concerns. Read COINOTAG’s expert analysis and stay ahead in crypto investing.

Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin and Ether Price Declines Amid Economic Headwinds

Arthur Hayes, Maelstrom Fund’s chief investment officer, has highlighted significant macroeconomic risks that could push Bitcoin down to the $100,000 mark and Ether toward $3,000. He attributes this potential downturn to renewed tariff fears, a sluggish credit market, and disappointing US job creation data, which collectively signal economic fragility and could dampen crypto market momentum.

Hayes’ Strategic Crypto Sell-Off Reflects Market Caution

In a recent move, Hayes liquidated over $13 million worth of cryptocurrencies, including $8.32 million in ETH, $4.62 million in Ethena (ENA), and $414,700 in Pepe (PEPE) memecoin. His wallet now holds $28.3 million in tokens, with a substantial $22.95 million parked in USDC stablecoins, indicating a cautious stance amid uncertain market conditions, as reported by blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain.

Arthur Hayes Crypto Wallet Activity
Source: Arthur Hayes

Bitcoin Faces Potential Double-Digit Correction as Market Volatility Increases

Bitcoin has already declined over 7.7% from its $123,000 all-time high reached on July 14, while Ether has dropped 12.5% since surpassing $3,900 on July 28. An 18.7% correction to $100,000 would mark a significant pullback, fueled by tightening credit conditions, tariff uncertainties, and a softening US job market that challenge investor confidence in risk assets.

Industry Experts Debate Whether Bitcoin’s Volatility Is Easing

Despite these concerns, some analysts believe Bitcoin’s volatility is diminishing. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas notes that since BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF filing in June 2023, the asset has experienced reduced volatility and fewer sharp drawdowns. Similarly, Mitchell Askew, head analyst at Blockware Solutions, suggests the era of extreme bull and bear markets may be over, signaling a maturing crypto market.

Bitcoin Market Analysis
Source: Eli Nagar

What is Driving Bitcoin’s Potential Price Correction?

Bitcoin’s potential price correction is driven by macroeconomic factors such as renewed tariff tensions, weak US job growth, and sluggish credit expansion. These elements create uncertainty in financial markets, reducing appetite for risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies and increasing the likelihood of price declines.

How Does Economic Data Impact Cryptocurrency Markets?

Economic indicators like Non-Farm Payrolls influence market sentiment. The recent report showing only 73,000 new US jobs in July signals economic fragility, which can lead to cautious investor behavior. Slower credit growth further restricts liquidity, limiting capital flow into crypto markets and contributing to downward price pressure.


Frequently Asked Questions

What factors are influencing Bitcoin’s recent price decline?

Bitcoin’s recent decline is influenced by macroeconomic pressures including tariff fears, weak US job reports, and slow credit growth, which reduce investor confidence and increase market volatility.

How might upcoming economic reports affect cryptocurrency prices?

Upcoming economic data, such as employment figures and credit growth, can impact crypto prices by shaping market sentiment and risk appetite, potentially triggering price corrections or rallies.


Key Takeaways

  • Macroeconomic risks: Tariffs, weak job growth, and credit stagnation threaten crypto prices.
  • Hayes’ market moves: Significant crypto sell-offs signal caution amid uncertainty.
  • Market outlook: Analysts debate Bitcoin’s volatility, with some seeing signs of stabilization.

Conclusion

Arthur Hayes’ warning about a potential Bitcoin drop to $100,000 highlights growing economic headwinds impacting cryptocurrencies. While some experts see reduced volatility, ongoing tariff concerns and weak job data suggest caution. Investors should monitor these factors closely as the crypto market navigates uncertain conditions.


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