Bitcoin Could Face Further Pressure After $5.69B of Short-Term Holder Losses Sent to Exchanges

  • 50,026 BTC ($5.69 billion) moved to exchanges at a loss in 48 hours

  • Short-term holders and profit-taking drove large exchange inflows and $441M liquidations in 24 hours.

  • On-chain data from CryptoQuant and Glassnode shows the deepest loss-driven value in over a month and a $1.5B profit spike on July 18.

Bitcoin exchange outflows surge as short-term holders sell at a loss; read the COINOTAG on-chain analysis and market update now.

What are Bitcoin exchange outflows and why do they matter?

Bitcoin exchange outflows describe BTC leaving exchange wallets to private custody or long-term storage, often indicating accumulation. When flows into exchanges spike instead, it signals potential selling pressure, which can lead to price volatility and short-term liquidations.

Why are Short-Term Holders selling at a loss?

On-chain analysis from CryptoQuant reported that Short-Term Holders deposited 50,026 BTC (~$5.69 billion) to exchanges at a loss over 48 hours, a major capitulation event. Deposits to exchanges typically imply intent to sell, and this wave coincided with roughly $441 million of liquidations across the market in the last 24 hours.

Glassnode data showed a separate spike in profit-taking on July 18, when holders with over one month tenure realized more than $1.5 billion, the biggest such move since December 2024. Institutional buying earlier in August—driving Bitcoin to a record $124,533 on Aug. 14—likely prompted rapid profit-taking and rebalancing.


When did the latest outflows occur and how large were they?

The largest move occurred over a 48-hour window when 50,026 BTC (~$5.69 billion) arrived at exchanges at a loss, according to CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn. This two-day window ranks among the heaviest loss-driven flows in recent weeks and coincided with $441 million liquidated within 24 hours.

How has Bitcoin price reacted?

Bitcoin eased 1.44% over 24 hours to trade near $113,683 at the time of reporting, hitting an intraday low of $112,555. The pullback follows a record high of $124,533 on Aug. 14, which was supported by a wave of institutional purchases earlier in the month.

Market retreats: what’s driving the pullback?

Profit-taking after a rapid run-up is the primary driver. On-chain metrics show significant realization events from holders beyond daily traders, while institutional rebalancing amplified volatility. Market capitalization briefly fell below $4 trillion as major tokens reversed gains.

Institutional flows remain relevant: a large corporate buying spree in mid-August materially contributed to highs, and subsequent profit-taking—both from short-term speculators and longer-term holders—has trimmed intraday liquidity.

How should traders interpret these signals?

1. Increased exchange inflows generally raise the probability of selling pressure.

2. Large realized profit spikes from longer-term holders can precede short-term corrections.

3. Watch liquidations and order-book depth for cascade risk during rapid moves.


Frequently Asked Questions

What does it mean when BTC flows to exchanges increase?

Rising BTC inflows to exchanges typically indicate an intent to sell, increasing available sell-side liquidity and often correlating with short-term price pressure or volatility.

Is this capitulation similar to past loss-taking events?

On-chain signals suggest the recent loss-driven inflow is among the largest in weeks and could mirror prior prolonged loss-taking if not followed by renewed accumulation, as seen in late February–late May patterns.


Key Takeaways

  • Major loss-driven flows: 50,026 BTC (~$5.69B) moved to exchanges over 48 hours, signaling capitulation among short-term holders.
  • Significant liquidations: Approximately $441M was liquidated in the last 24 hours, increasing short-term downside risk.
  • Context matters: Institutional buying earlier in August and a July profit spike of $1.5B (Glassnode) frame this pullback as profit-taking rather than pure distribution.

Conclusion

Short-term selling has driven a sizable transfer of BTC to exchanges, creating immediate price pressure and liquidations. On-chain data from CryptoQuant and Glassnode and recent institutional flows provide a clear evidence base for this move. Traders and investors should monitor exchange balances, realized profit metrics, and order-book liquidity for signals of stabilization or further downside. For updated analysis and follow-up reporting, consult COINOTAG updates and on-chain data feeds.







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