Bitcoin Could Face Test Near $100,000 as Ethereum Consolidates and Shiba Inu Volatility May Surge

  • Bitcoin risks a decisive breakdown below $100,000 if momentum and volume do not return.

  • Ethereum needs to hold $4,000-$4,050 to keep the bullish case intact.

  • Shiba Inu’s compressed triangle suggests volatility will spike; volume will determine direction.

Bitcoin price outlook: BTC risks falling below $100,000; ETH consolidates near $4,300; SHIB braces for a volatile breakout. Read trading levels and action points.





What is happening to Bitcoin price?

Bitcoin is showing weakening momentum and sits below its 50-day moving average, leaving the $100,000 psychological level vulnerable. A sustained hold above $114,000 is required to shift near-term bias; failure to do so increases the probability of a deeper correction toward the 200-day EMA at ~$104,000.

How is Ethereum performing?

Ethereum has cooled from its recent surge and is consolidating around $4,300. The 20-day EMA is providing short-term support while the 50-day EMA near $4,050 is the critical pivot; maintaining $4,000-$4,050 keeps buyers in control, with $4,800–$5,000 as the next upside zone.

Why could Shiba Inu volatility surge?

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle with the 200-day MA at ~$0.0000140 acting as resistance. As the pattern nears its apex, volatility typically increases. A breakout or breakdown accompanied by volume will define the next extended move toward the listed targets.

Article image
BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView

What technical signals show Bitcoin’s vulnerability?

Short-term momentum has faded with BTC below the 50-day MA and muted RSI near oversold readings. Volume has declined, indicating limited buyer conviction. The 200-day EMA at roughly $104,000 is the last major technical support before a test of the six-figure threshold.

How should traders size risk for Ethereum?

Traders should treat $4,000 as a core risk level and use the 50-day EMA near $4,050 as a tactical pivot. Lower-risk entries include accumulations above $4,000 with stops under $3,950; upside targets sit near $4,800-$5,000 if momentum resumes.

What are the possible SHIB scenarios?

Outcomes for SHIB are binary: (1) a breakout above the triangle and 200-day SMA could trigger short-covering and rallies toward $0.0000130–$0.0000150, or (2) a breakdown below $0.0000120 may accelerate liquidations toward $0.0000110 and deeper weakness.

Asset Key Support Key Resistance / Target Trade Rule
Bitcoin (BTC) $104,000 (200-day EMA) $114,000 / $120,000+ Reclaim $114k to bullish; exit on close below $100k
Ethereum (ETH) $4,000 – $4,050 (50 EMA) $4,800 – $5,000 Buy above $4,000; risk under $3,950
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $0.0000120 $0.0000130 – $0.0000150 Entry on breakout above $0.0000130; exit on break below $0.0000120

Frequently Asked Questions

What level will confirm a bearish Bitcoin move?

A daily close below $100,000 would confirm a significant technical failure for Bitcoin and increase the likelihood of deeper market weakness. Monitor volume and the 200-day EMA near $104,000 for potential bounces.

How can I prepare for an ETH consolidation breakout?

Prepare by setting buy entries near $4,000-$4,050 with stops under $3,950. Scale into positions on rising volume and watch the $4,800–$5,000 zone for profit-taking or trend confirmation.

When will SHIB’s triangle resolve?

The triangle will typically resolve as price reaches the pattern apex; watch for a decisive breakout or breakdown with above-average volume to confirm direction within days to weeks.

Key Takeaways

  • BTC risk: Bitcoin must reclaim $114,000 to reduce downside risk; otherwise a drop below $100,000 is possible.
  • ETH setup: Ethereum’s consolidation creates low-risk entries near $4,000 with clear stops and defined upside targets.
  • SHIB volatility: Shiba Inu’s triangle signals an upcoming volatility spike—volume will determine whether bulls or bears prevail.

Conclusion

Market structure across Bitcoin, Ethereum and Shiba Inu points to imminent directional moves driven by momentum and volume. Traders should front-load risk controls, use the technical levels above for entries and exits, and monitor macro liquidity. COINOTAG will continue to track developments and publish updates as setups resolve.



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