- Matrixport reveals how Bitcoin narrowly avoided a major financial setback.
- Key factors including U.S. temporary legislation and inflation rates influenced Bitcoin’s trajectory.
- “Potential Bitcoin spot ETF approvals could fuel a rally in crypto assets,” says Markus Thielen, Head of Crypto Research and Strategy at Matrixport.
Discover how Bitcoin skirted a financial calamity and the factors contributing to its resilience, according to Matrixport’s recent analysis.
Avoiding the Brink: The Role of U.S. Legislation in Bitcoin’s Stability
According to Markus Thielen of Matrixport, Bitcoin’s recent escape from a significant downturn can be attributed to the passing of a temporary law in the United States, preventing government shutdown. This event was crucial in avoiding a potential crash in the crypto market. Had the government shut down, it would have halted non-essential government operations, including progress on potential Bitcoin spot ETF approvals by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Thielen argued that such a scenario could have triggered more profit-taking and led to a possible 10% decline in Bitcoin’s value.
Underlying Factors Boosting Crypto Confidence
Matrixport’s analysis points to declining inflation figures and the potential approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs as key factors adding momentum to the ongoing rally in risky assets like cryptocurrencies. Recent data showed U.S. inflation falling from 3.7% to 3.2%, below expectations. Matrixport anticipates this rate to drop further to 1.6% by 2024, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to significant interest rate cuts (150-200 basis points). Such cuts could further fuel rallies in technology stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Furthermore, Thielen reiterates the expectation of a continuing “fifth Bitcoin bull market” until December 2024, projecting a price target of $125,000, around six months after the next Bitcoin halving event in April. This optimistic outlook is based on the assumption that the halving event, which reduces block rewards for miners, will create scarcity in Bitcoin supply, driving up its value.
Ethereum’s Rising Fortunes
In addition to Bitcoin’s prospects, Matrixport forecasts a significant increase in Ethereum’s revenues, potentially reaching the highest level since May at $171 million. This surge not only benefits Ethereum but also signals a positive trend for the broader altcoin market, as fees and revenues increase across various chains. This trend could indicate a period of superiority for Ethereum compared to Bitcoin, suggesting a diversified and dynamic crypto market in the coming months.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Matrixport’s analysis sheds light on the multifaceted factors influencing Bitcoin’s recent resilience and the broader crypto market’s prospects. Key legislative actions in the U.S., changing inflation rates, and the anticipation of Bitcoin spot ETF approvals play a pivotal role in shaping the market’s future. Coupled with Ethereum’s promising revenue outlook, these developments underscore a potentially exciting phase for cryptocurrencies as we approach 2024.
