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Bitcoin ETF Inflows Drop 80% Amid High Profit Levels and Elevated Futures Open Interest


  • Bitcoin ETF inflows experienced the steepest decline in months, signaling cautious institutional sentiment.

  • Despite inflow drops, CME Futures open interest stays high, reflecting ongoing trader engagement.

  • On-chain data shows 95.8% of Bitcoin supply remains profitable, a double-edged indicator of strength and potential profit-taking.

Bitcoin ETF inflows plunge 80%, but derivatives activity and profit levels suggest a critical market juncture. Stay informed with COINOTAG’s latest insights.

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Drop 80% Amid Institutional Caution

Bitcoin (BTC) saw a significant slowdown in ETF inflows this week, with an 80% decline compared to the previous period. This sharp drop, reported by Glassnode, marks the most pronounced pullback in months and highlights growing institutional hesitation. Such a steep reduction in inflows is notable given the market’s reliance on institutional demand for momentum.

Derivatives Markets Show Continued Strength Despite ETF Slowdown

Contrasting the ETF inflow decline, derivatives markets remain robust. Open Interest in CME Futures is elevated, according to CryptoQuant data, indicating that traders are still actively positioning for potential price movements. This sustained activity suggests that short-term speculators anticipate a rally, even as institutional ETF enthusiasm cools.

Screenshot 2025 07 30 104021

Source: Glassnode

On-Chain Profitability Remains High, Raising Both Confidence and Caution

On-chain metrics reveal that 95.8% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is currently in profit. This high profitability level signals strong long-term holder confidence but also raises the risk of profit-taking if momentum falters. Such widespread profitability can lead to increased selling pressure, potentially triggering a short-term price correction.

Bitcoin Supply in Profit

Source: CryptoQuant

Active Addresses Show a Market in Pause

Weekly active Bitcoin addresses have declined from early July highs, indicating a “wait-and-watch” sentiment among large holders. This lull suggests neither aggressive selling nor buying, reflecting uncertainty about the next market direction.

Bitcoin Active Addresses 2

Source: CryptoQuant

What Does the Current Market Sentiment Mean for Bitcoin?

Bitcoin’s recent data points to a market at a crossroads. Institutional ETF inflows have slowed dramatically, but derivatives traders remain engaged, and on-chain profitability is high. This mix suggests that while confidence remains, the market could face a short-term correction if fresh demand does not materialize soon.

How Might Traders Navigate This Uncertain Phase?

Traders should monitor ETF inflows and derivatives open interest closely, as shifts here often precede price movements. Additionally, watching active address trends and profit-taking signals can provide early warnings of potential corrections or renewed rallies.


Frequently Asked Questions

What factors contributed to the recent drop in Bitcoin ETF inflows?

The 80% decline in Bitcoin ETF inflows is attributed to growing institutional caution and market uncertainty, as reported by Glassnode. This reflects a temporary pullback in demand from large investors.

How does elevated open interest affect Bitcoin’s price outlook?

Elevated open interest indicates that traders remain actively engaged, expecting price volatility. This can lead to increased liquidity and potential price rallies or corrections depending on market sentiment.


Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin ETF inflows dropped 80%: Marking a significant institutional pullback this week.
  • Derivatives open interest remains high: Indicating sustained trader activity and anticipation of price moves.
  • 95.8% of BTC supply is in profit: Suggesting strong holder confidence but also risk of profit-taking and short-term correction.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s market currently reflects a balance between cautious institutional demand and active trader speculation. While ETF inflows have sharply declined, elevated derivatives activity and high profitability levels indicate that BTC is poised for either renewed buying interest or a short-term correction. Investors should watch these key indicators closely to navigate the evolving landscape.


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