Bitcoin and Ethereum prices dipped following the latest U.S. jobs data, with BTC at $87,152 and ETH at $2,935. Despite the volatility, prediction markets indicate a 69% chance of Bitcoin returning to $100,000 amid anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.
-
U.S. unemployment rate rises to 4.6%, a four-year high, impacting crypto markets.
-
Bitcoin recovers from a low of $85,000, showing resilience post-data release.
-
Ethereum falls below $3,000 but could benefit from expected Fed policy easing, as noted by economists.
Bitcoin price after US jobs data shows short-term dips but strong recovery signals. Explore how Fed rate cuts could drive BTC back to $100K. Stay informed on crypto trends for smart investing decisions.
What is the Impact of US Jobs Data on Bitcoin Price?
Bitcoin price after US jobs data experienced initial volatility as the unemployment rate climbed to 4.6%, the highest in four years, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics report. The data revealed a net loss of jobs in October and modest gains in November, delayed by a government shutdown. Despite the dip, market sentiment remains optimistic, with prediction platforms forecasting a rebound driven by potential monetary policy shifts.
How Are Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Influencing Ethereum and Bitcoin?
The latest nonfarm payroll figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicate that the U.S. economy added 64,000 jobs in November but lost 105,000 in October, with prior months revised downward. This mixed picture has fueled expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, as highlighted by New York Federal Reserve President John C. Williams, who noted slowing housing inflation and wage growth pointing to reduced inflationary pressures. Inflation is projected to ease to under 2.5% next year and reach the Fed’s 2% target by 2027, according to analysts.
Senior currency economist Lee Hardman from Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group emphasized in a recent note that these developments support multiple rate cuts in 2026. “Overall, his comments support our view that the Fed will deliver multiple further rate cuts next year, helping to weaken the U.S. dollar,” Hardman stated. A weaker dollar historically bolsters Bitcoin as an alternative asset, enhancing its appeal during periods of accommodative policy. Ethereum, trading at $2,935 after a 3.5% daily decline, mirrors this trend but faces steeper short-term pressure below the $3,000 mark.
Cryptocurrency prices reacted swiftly to the data release on Tuesday morning. Bitcoin, per CoinGecko data, hovered at $87,152 following a 0.5% drop, rebounding from an intraday low near $85,000. This resilience underscores Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Broader market liquidity could improve with easier policy, attracting international capital to dollar-denominated assets like cryptocurrencies.
The delay in the jobs report stemmed from a 43-day U.S. government shutdown ending November 12, forcing agencies to reconcile data from October and November. Employment gains were seen in health care and construction, offset by ongoing federal job losses. These nuances suggest a softening labor market without immediate recession signals, aligning with Fed officials’ cautious outlook.
Prediction markets reflect this tempered optimism. On Myriad, a platform for forecasting outcomes, participants assign a 69% probability to Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 before declining to $69,000. This sentiment persists despite the price waver, indicating investor confidence in macroeconomic tailwinds. Ethereum’s trajectory may follow suit, as both assets benefit from correlated factors like dollar weakness and risk-on environments.
Historically, Bitcoin has thrived amid Fed easing cycles. During previous rate cut periods, BTC appreciated significantly as investors sought yield alternatives. Current conditions, with no major supply chain disruptions and gradual disinflation, mirror those dynamics. Williams’ remarks on Monday reinforced this, dismissing broad bottlenecks and highlighting positive wage trends.
For Ethereum, the dip below $3,000 late Monday highlights sensitivity to risk-off moves, but recovery potential remains tied to Bitcoin’s momentum. As global liquidity expands, ETH could regain footing, supported by its utility in decentralized finance and layer-2 scaling solutions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What Does the Latest US Unemployment Rate Mean for Bitcoin Price After US Jobs Data?
The unemployment rate at 4.6% signals a cooling labor market, potentially prompting Fed rate cuts that weaken the dollar and boost Bitcoin. After the jobs data, BTC dipped but stabilized at $87,152, with markets pricing in a favorable outlook for recovery above $100,000.
Will Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Help Ethereum Recover from Current Levels?
Yes, anticipated rate cuts in 2026 could enhance liquidity and reduce dollar strength, aiding Ethereum’s rebound from $2,935. As Williams noted, easing inflation supports this policy shift, making crypto assets more attractive for hedging and investment.
Key Takeaways
- Mixed Jobs Data Drives Volatility: Unemployment at 4.6% led to initial Bitcoin and Ethereum dips, but net revisions show economic softening without collapse.
- Fed Policy Optimism Persists: Rate cuts expected in 2026 could weaken the dollar, historically benefiting BTC as a store of value.
- Prediction Markets Bullish: 69% chance of Bitcoin hitting $100K before $69K, urging investors to monitor Fed signals closely.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin price after US jobs data underscores market resilience amid economic headwinds, with Ethereum facing similar pressures but poised for gains from Federal Reserve rate cuts. As experts like Lee Hardman from Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group predict dollar weakening and policy easing, cryptocurrencies stand to benefit. Investors should track upcoming inflation reports and Fed meetings, positioning for potential upside in this evolving landscape.
