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Bitcoin Faces Crucial $96.5K Resistance Amid Rising Open Interest and Easing Sell-Side Pressure

Bitcoin’s price action continues to capture the attention of investors as it tests a critical resistance level amidst supportive market dynamics.

  • Bitcoin’s recent surge brought its price to $96.5K, a pivotal resistance that may catalyze further price increases if successfully breached.

  • Open Interest has seen a significant rise, indicating renewed interest without excessive leverage, suggesting a healthier trading environment.

The latest movement in Bitcoin’s price indicates strong support for further growth as key metrics reveal bullish sentiment in the crypto market.

Is supply-side pressure easing across exchanges?

Bitcoin’s Exchange Reserve has dipped to $238.31 billion, marking a 0.67% decrease. This trend typically indicates that investors are withdrawing Bitcoin from exchanges, which can signal bullish sentiment due to diminished sell-pressure.

Additionally, the netflow statistic at -4.33K BTC shows a noticeable shift towards outflows of 2.45%. These changes in supply dynamics suggest a growing trend of accumulation among investors, further stabilizing pricing conditions for Bitcoin.

This alteration in reserve figures could offer a foundation for a bullish outlook, as fewer coins will be readily available for sale, enhancing price stability.

Bitcoin Exchange Netflow Total

Source: CryptoQuant

Are Bitcoin users returning to the network in large numbers?

The rise in active network engagement is underscored by the recent spike in Daily Active Bitcoin Addresses, now at 924.55K, marking one of the highest participation levels this year.

This sharp increase not only reflects enhanced blockchain activity but also indicates strong user adoption beyond speculative trading. Historical data indicate that elevated active address counts often correlate with sustained bullish trends, reinforcing the positive narrative surrounding Bitcoin’s recovery.

Should this momentum continue, it may solidify the on-chain strength driving the price rebound.

Bitcoin Daily Active Addresses

Source: Santiment

Is profitability returning without signaling overvaluation?

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s profitability has shown signs of returning, with the MVRV Z-score rising to 2.42, a notable rebound from prior lows in March.

This metric indicates that while holders are experiencing increased profitability, the current values remain below historical danger zones typically associated with peak market tops. Consequently, Bitcoin appears to be in a favorable position, where profit-taking pressure is unlikely, thus allowing bullish sentiment to build.

Such metrics portray a balanced market state, providing an environment where prices can elevate without triggering significant selling from over-leveraged holders.

Bitcoin MVRV Z-score

Source: Santiment

Will Bitcoin break above the $96.5K barrier?

Currently, Bitcoin is testing significant resistance at $96.5K, coinciding with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. The prevailing price structure exhibits bullish momentum, with a clear uptrend from March lows.

The RSI reading of 68.30 indicates proximity to overbought conditions, yet there is room for further upward movement. Should BTC convert the $96.5K-$97K range into support, it may set the stage for a breakout towards past highs.

However, a failure to maintain levels above this resistance might lead to a period of consolidation before any subsequent moves.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Source: CoinGlass

Considering the positive increase in Open Interest, the decline in Exchange Reserves, and the rising network activity, Bitcoin’s current upward trajectory appears to be underpinned by strong fundamentals.

The MVRV ratio further suggests that the market remains below overvaluation levels, while technical analyses indicate the potential for a breakout.

Hence, Bitcoin is well-positioned to maintain its bullish momentum if it can effectively breach the $97K resistance zone in the forthcoming days.

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