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Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance Near $118K as Metrics Suggest Possible Short-Term Correction


  • Bitcoin’s price remains resilient despite a 4.24% pullback from its record $123K high.

  • The exchange whale ratio at 0.52 suggests increased large BTC inflows to exchanges, often preceding price corrections.

  • COINOTAG analysis highlights $118K as a critical resistance level that will determine Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory.

Bitcoin price dips below $118K amid bearish social signals and whale activity; monitor key resistance levels for potential market shifts. Stay updated with COINOTAG.

Bitcoin’s Recent Price Movement and Historical Drawdowns

Bitcoin traded just below $118,000 following a 4.24% decline from its all-time high of $123,091. This dip is minor compared to previous bull run corrections, such as the 50% drawdown experienced in July 2021 before reaching $69,000 later that year. Such fluctuations are typical during strong market cycles, indicating that a small pullback is not unusual for Bitcoin’s price action.

Bitcoin Drawdown from ATH

Source: Glassnode

What Does the Exchange Whale Ratio Indicate About Bitcoin’s Short-Term Outlook?

The exchange whale ratio, currently at 0.52, measures the proportion of the top 10 largest Bitcoin inflows to exchanges relative to total inflows. A rising 30-day moving average since May signals growing large-scale BTC deposits on exchanges, which historically precedes short-term price corrections. This metric suggests that Bitcoin may face downward pressure unless it decisively breaks above the $118K resistance.

Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio

Source: CryptoQuant

How Are Liquidation Levels Affecting Bitcoin’s Price Action?

The Bitcoin liquidation heatmap reveals two significant liquidity clusters at approximately $113,200 and $121,800. Currently, the price is nearer to the upper cluster, suggesting a potential upward move. However, if the exchange whale ratio rises above 0.6, traders should prepare for a deeper pullback. These liquidation zones act as magnets for price action, guiding short-term market behavior.

Bitcoin Liquidation Heatmap

Source: CoinGlass

What Are the Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for Bitcoin Moving Forward?

Bitcoin’s near-term price action hinges on the $118K resistance level. A sustained breakout accompanied by a declining exchange whale ratio could propel Bitcoin toward $122K-$124K. Conversely, if the ratio remains above 0.5 and Bitcoin fails to reclaim $118K, a deeper correction toward the $111K-$112K demand zone is probable. Market participants should watch these key metrics closely to gauge momentum.

What Should Long-Term Investors Consider Amid Short-Term Volatility?

Despite short-term bearish signals, Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals remain strong. Institutional interest and network activity continue to support its value proposition. Investors with a longer horizon can view current dips as potential entry points, aligning with historical patterns of recovery following corrections during bull markets.

Key Takeaways

  • Minor 4.24% price dip: Bitcoin trades just below $118K after reaching an all-time high of $123,091.
  • Exchange whale ratio at 0.52: Indicates rising large BTC inflows to exchanges, often preceding short-term corrections.
  • Critical resistance at $118K: A decisive move above this level could lead to gains toward $124K; failure may result in deeper pullbacks.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s recent price dip and rising exchange whale ratio suggest a cautious short-term outlook, with $118K serving as a pivotal resistance. While bearish signals point to a possible correction, the long-term fundamentals remain intact, offering optimism for investors. Monitoring these key metrics will be essential for navigating the evolving market landscape.


Frequently Asked Questions

What does a rising exchange whale ratio indicate for Bitcoin’s price?

A rising exchange whale ratio suggests that large holders are moving Bitcoin to exchanges, which can increase selling pressure and lead to short-term price declines.

Is Bitcoin’s recent dip a sign of a bear market?

Not necessarily. Minor dips are common during bull runs, and current data points to a possible short-term correction rather than a full bear market.

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