Bitcoin January 15, 2026: Mild Correction in the Uptrend and Critical Level Tests

Bitcoin is showing strong support around 95.600 dollars while maintaining its upward trend, but the slight 1.39% drop in the last 24 hours is causing investors to hold their breath. BTC, displaying balanced momentum at the RSI 63.65 level, could trigger a new rally toward 114,000 dollars if it breaks the 97.000 dollar resistance ahead; otherwise, the 90,000 dollar supports will become critical.

Market Outlook and Current Situation

The Bitcoin market, as of January 15, 2026, continues its upward trend, with the current price positioned at 95,646.49 dollars. Although there has been a 1.39% decline in the last 24 hours, the 24-hour trading range is squeezed between 95,134.48 - 97,193.34 dollars. This narrow range indicates that investors are focused on the big picture; as the 23.93 billion dollar volume confirms the market depth remains solid. The overall trend is classified as upward, but short-term correction signals are testing the long-term bull scenario.

The market continues its steady rise since the beginning of the year. Bitcoin is trading comfortably above the EMA20 (91,816.34 dollars), strengthening the short-term bullish bias. However, the volatility in recent weeks is synchronized with macroeconomic uncertainties and fluctuations in traditional markets. Investors can access detailed data from the BTC Spot Analysis pages to monitor spot market liquidity more closely. In this context, the slight decrease in volume signals that buyers are approaching cautiously; yet the overall sentiment remains upward.

In multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, 9 strong levels have been identified: 2 supports/1 resistance on the daily (1D) chart, 2 supports/2 resistances on the 3-day (3D) chart, and 2 supports/3 resistances on the weekly (1W) chart. This confluence emphasizes the robustness of the market structure and serves as a warning for sudden breakouts. The absence of significant news flow keeps technical factors in the forefront; creating an ideal environment for pure technical analysis.

Technical Analysis: Levels to Watch

Support Zones

Support zones stand out as the most critical elements limiting Bitcoin's downside risks. The strongest support is at 89,995.8751 dollars (score: 77/100), overlapping with Fibonacci retracements on daily and weekly charts. This level corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci of the recent months' uptrend and has historically been tested multiple times and held. If the price pulls back here, aggressive buying could be triggered; however, a break could bring a deeper correction targeting the 80,000 dollar bearish level.

The secondary support is at 94,611.6067 dollars (score: 68/100), near the recent 24-hour low and showing confluence with EMA20. For short-term traders, this could be an ideal long entry point; as a volume increase here would signal a quick recovery. In MTF analysis, these supports are strengthened by pivot points on the 3D chart, making them more reliable.

Resistance Barriers

The most notable resistance level is 97,058.4728 dollars (score: 89/100), positioned just above the recent 24-hour high. This barrier, along with the Supertrend indicator's upper resistance at 103,832.64 dollars, serves as the first test point for upward movement. In case of a breakout, momentum could accelerate toward the 114,000 dollar bullish target. According to historical data, this resistance level is associated with volume surges and plays a key role on the path to the psychological 100,000 dollar threshold.

The upper resistances are reinforced by 1W confluence on the weekly chart. Investors can track open interest in futures contracts via BTC Futures Analysis to assess the likelihood of testing these resistances. If volume does not support, resistance rejection could increase short-term selling pressure.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

Momentum indicators are mixed but generally signaling in favor of bulls. RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 63.65 shows balanced strength without approaching the overbought zone (70+). This indicates the trend is sustainable and has additional upside potential; however, a drop below 50 would be a weakening warning. MACD features a positive histogram and main line above the signal line, confirming the bullish crossover – validating the strength of the recent weeks' uptrend.

EMAs are short-term bullish: Price is above EMA20 (91,816.34 dollars) and above EMA50 and EMA200, forming a classic bull structure. However, Supertrend is giving a bearish signal and highlighting the 103,832.64 dollar resistance; this contradiction increases short-term correction risk. In MTF, the weekly trend is strongly upward, while daily is in consolidation phase. Looking at the volume profile, volume on up days is higher than on down days, indicating buyer dominance. Overall trend strength remains upward, though increased volatility is expected.

Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook

The risk/reward ratio (R/R), calculated from current levels, is quite attractive: Bullish target 114,000 dollars (19% gain), bearish target 80,000 dollars (16% loss). This asymmetry favors the upside scenario; however, Supertrend's bearish warning and potential macro risks (e.g., interest rate decisions) could disrupt the balance. Short-term outlook is neutral-bullish: A breakout above 97,000 dollars triggers the rally, while loss of 94,600 dollars accelerates selling. Long-term uptrend intact, 100,000+ levels realistic.

In a negative scenario, a break of 89,996 dollar support could lead to a quick drop to 80,000 dollars; reflecting overall market fear. On the positive side, volume increase opens the path to 103,000 dollars and targets 114,000. Traders should manage risk by placing stop-losses below supports. The BTC spot market is ideal in terms of liquidity, while caution is advised for leveraged positions on the futures side. The overall outlook offers opportunities but with high volatility; a patient approach is essential.

Market dynamics can change rapidly; this analysis is based on real-time data. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and monitor multiple timeframes.