- The crypto market is expected to experience significant volatility in the coming months according to recent forecasts by leading industry analysts.
- Despite positive trends earlier in the year, the second and third quarters of 2024 have encountered substantial challenges.
- David Duong, head of institutional research at Coinbase, stated that the third quarter began on a negative note due to supply overhangs and lackluster market narratives.
Get an in-depth look at the anticipated developments in the crypto market, and understand the strategic insights from expert analysts forecasting the future landscape.
Crypto Volatility To Persist Through Q3 2024
Industry analysts anticipate enduring market fluctuations driven by ongoing factors such as Bitcoin ETF introductions. David Duong, head of institutional research at Coinbase, noted that the third quarter of 2024 experienced a rough start. Market conditions have been adversely affected by indiscriminate Bitcoin sales from sources insensitive to price changes, like Germany’s Bundeskriminalamt (BKA).
Supply Overhangs and Lack of Compelling Narratives
Analysts David Duong and David Han from Coinbase foresee continued price volatility in the third quarter of 2024, primarily due to the market’s current lack of strong narratives. According to their analysis, the cryptocurrency sector will likely experience “choppy” price movements as the year progresses.
Potential Q4 Rebound Driven By Macro Factors
Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of 2024, analysts maintain a more optimistic outlook. Duong highlights the potential impact of factors such as interest rate cuts and the upcoming US election in November. While there are reservations about an economic downturn possibly countering the positive effects of rate reductions, analysts believe a stable economy could unlock liquidity and attract retail investors.
Impact of Upcoming US Election
The approaching US presidential election adds another layer of complexity. Regardless of the election outcome, potential fiscal expansion could bolster Bitcoin’s appeal as an alternative to traditional financial systems. Analysts suggest that fiscal policies may enhance Bitcoin’s positioning as a favorable investment at current levels.
JPMorgan’s Bullish Outlook
Mirroring Coinbase’s projections, experts at JPMorgan also predict a potential recovery in the cryptocurrency market, albeit on a different timeline. They foresee a resurgence beginning in August 2024, bolstering optimism throughout the sector.
Influence of Spot ETFs Approvals
Recent legislative developments provide another ray of hope for the crypto market. The SEC’s approval of spot ETH ETFs and consideration of SOL ETF applications marks a positive shift. Analysts at Coinbase suggest that while the overall impact on ETH prices remains uncertain, the approval could lead to unexpected outperformances and provide additional support to ETH.
Conclusion
In summary, the crypto market is braced for continued volatility in the near term, driven by supply dynamics and a lack of strong narratives. However, a potential rebound in Q4 2024 spurred by macroeconomic factors and legislative advancements could offer a more optimistic outlook. Investors are advised to stay vigilant and keep an eye on upcoming developments to navigate the volatile landscape effectively.
