Bitcoin bull run signs are inconclusive: while BTC failed to hold the 50-day EMA and volume has fallen, this looks like a mid-cycle pause rather than a confirmed end to the bull market. Watch the 100 EMA near $111,000 and resistance at $116,000 for a clearer trend signal.
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BTC failed to hold the 50-day EMA, signalling weakened buying pressure.
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Shiba Inu shows near-zero volatility and tightening ranges, implying potential prolonged sideways action.
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XRP recovered above its 50-day EMA, but the move lacks volume and may be short-lived without follow-through.
Bitcoin bull run signals: BTC failed the 50-day EMA; watch $111k (100 EMA) and $116k resistance for confirmation. Read more for SHIB and XRP analysis.
Is the Bitcoin bull run over or paused?
Bitcoin bull run momentum is currently paused: BTC’s inability to sustain a move above the 50-day EMA and falling volume indicate hesitation, not definitive trend reversal. If BTC breaks the 100 EMA near $111,000, sentiment could shift toward a deeper correction; holding above the 50 EMA would support continuation.
What does the failed 50-day EMA tell traders?
The rejection at the 50-day EMA shows buying pressure is insufficient for another leg up. Volume has declined steadily, unlike prior bull phases where corrections triggered aggressive buybacks. Traders should treat the current action as a consolidation risk until volume and price move in tandem above $116,000.
A crucial question has been raised by Bitcoin’s recent market performance: Is the bull run already over, or is this just a mid-cycle pause? BTC has struggled to maintain momentum after a new high earlier this summer, and recent price action suggests the rally may be losing steam. The primary technical issue is the failure to stay above the 50-day EMA.
The rejection at that moving average points to a market where buying pressure is insufficient for an immediate follow-through. Volume has been steadily dropping, reinforcing bearish weight and signifying reduced trader conviction. Historically, corrections during robust bull phases saw strong buybacks and higher inflows; the current lack of those signals shows investor hesitancy.
BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView
The next significant support for Bitcoin lies near the 100 EMA, around $111,000, if BTC cannot reclaim the 50 EMA soon. A test and break below that area would likely shift the narrative from a healthy retracement to a more sustained trend reversal. For now, the main resistance to monitor is $116,000; a clear break above would restore bullish conviction.
How weak is Shiba Inu’s momentum?
Shiba Inu is displaying extremely low volatility and tightening price action, indicating a period of prolonged consolidation rather than an imminent breakout. Symmetrical triangle compression suggests liquidity is drying up, and traders are largely sidelined.
SHIB has been constricting between converging support and resistance lines. Recovery attempts have been repeatedly capped by the descending trendline, while July’s ascending support has prevented major declines. This pattern looks balanced but momentum-poor.
Lower volatility reduces the chance of sudden large moves, but it also signals diminishing liquidity. Volume has fallen consistently, and the token trades below dominant moving averages. A breakout without a strong catalyst could generate false signals. Key levels to watch are $0.0000135 and $0.0000141—sustained moves above these would be needed to validate upside momentum.
Why did XRP bounce and is it sustainable?
XRP posted a sharp and unexpected recovery, pushing back above the 50-day EMA after edging toward the 100 EMA near $2.75. The rebound reversed what appeared to be a deeper decline and briefly improved short-term sentiment.
However, the rally’s foundation seems rooted in technical resilience rather than fresh demand. Volume remained muted, and XRP struggled to decisively break through the 26 EMA zone. Without volume confirmation, the breakout could be fragile.
If XRP cannot sustain above $3.05 or re-enter the $3.20–$3.30 zone, the market may retest the 100 EMA and demand stronger confirmation. Holders should interpret the bounce as cautiously constructive but remain alert for follow-through signs.
Frequently Asked Questions
How should traders interpret BTC volume declining during rallies?
Declining volume during rallies implies weaker conviction; without volume support, price advances are vulnerable to reversals. Traders should wait for volume confirmation or a clear break of key EMAs.
What levels confirm Shiba Inu’s breakout?
Shiba Inu needs sustained closes above $0.0000135 and $0.0000141 with rising volume to confirm a genuine breakout and renewed momentum.
Key Takeaways
- BTC momentum paused: Failure to hold the 50-day EMA and falling volume suggest hesitation.
- Watch key levels: Support near the 100 EMA (~$111,000) and resistance at $116,000 will determine the next trend.
- SHIB and XRP need volume: Both tokens show technical signs of compression/recovery but require stronger volume to validate moves.
Conclusion
Short-term technicals point to a pause in the Bitcoin bull run, with BTC struggling at the 50-day EMA and volume contraction signaling investor caution. Shiba Inu’s near-zero volatility argues for patience, and XRP’s bounce lacks volume confirmation. Monitor EMAs, volume, and the $116,000 resistance for clearer direction. COINOTAG will update as market-confirming data arrives.
