Bitcoin May Remain Range-Bound After Modest Rally as RSI and ADX Signal Weak Trend, ETH Shows Volatility

• BTC showed a modest intraday rally to $111,775 while holding $110K as support.

• ETH posted wide intraday ranges with neutral RSI and ADX slightly above trend threshold, implying accumulation.

• Market cap rose ~1.2% to $3.9T; Myriad Markets predictors favor a BTC dip to $105K (66%) and ETH rally to $5,000 (60%).

BTC and ETH divergence: concise market update with key levels and trade cues. Read the technical breakdown and action items to prepare for potential breakouts.

What caused BTC and ETH price paths to diverge today?

BTC and ETH divergence occurred because Bitcoin displayed consolidation around key EMAs while Ethereum experienced wider intraday swings and neutral RSI readings. Macroeconomic moves pushed traditional assets lower, yet crypto reclaimed $3.9 trillion market cap—showing crypto-specific drivers rather than simple correlation with equities.

How are technical indicators explaining the split between BTC and ETH?

Bitcoin’s RSI at 44 and ADX at 20 point to weak trend strength and sideways action. Ethereum’s RSI at ~50 with ADX at 26 shows a still‑established trend but decreasing momentum. EMAs (50-day above 200-day) remain bullish for both, but narrowing gaps signal weakening momentum.

Why does the macro environment matter less for crypto right now?

Crypto reclaimed $3.9 trillion despite S&P 500 weakness and rising Treasury yields. Recent sessions show crypto reacting to internal flows—ETF demand and on‑chain metrics—more than immediate equity headlines. Traders cite predictor markets (Myriad Markets), TradingView data, and bank commentary (JP Morgan) as context without direct correlation to equities today.

How do BTC and ETH compare technically right now?

When should traders expect a decisive move?

Periods of low ADX often precede explosive moves. For BTC, a breakout will likely follow renewed volume and an ADX climb above 25. For ETH, watch triangle pattern resolution and whether price sustains above the 50‑day EMA. Monitor on‑chain flows, ETF net flows, and prediction market odds for added confirmation.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Bitcoin fall to $105K as Myriad Markets suggests?

Myriad Markets places 66% odds on a $105K dip, reflecting short‑term bearish sentiment; however, technical supports and institutional flows could reduce downside if demand resumes. This is predictive market sentiment, not a certainty.

How likely is Ethereum to hit $5,000 before dropping to $3,500?

Predictors show ~60% odds for an ETH run to $5,000 first. Declining odds this week indicate rising uncertainty; traders should use stops and watch ADX for trend strength confirmation.

Key Takeaways

• BTC consolidating: Trading near $110K with weak trend signals—expect rangebound action until volume picks up.
• ETH volatile but poised: Wide intraday swings and neutral RSI can lead to decisive breakouts; triangle pattern is key.
• Market context matters: Crypto reclaimed market cap despite equities weakness—on‑chain flows and institutional demand remain primary drivers.

Conclusion

Bitcoin and Ethereum have diverged modestly today because of differing indicator readings and intraday price behavior. BTC and ETH divergence highlights a consolidation bias for Bitcoin and accumulation/volatility for Ethereum. Traders should watch key levels, ADX shifts, and institutional flow signals; prepare for a potential breakout or deeper dip depending on volume confirmation.

Disclaimer: The views expressed are informational and not financial advice. Publication date: 2025-09-02. Updated: 2025-09-02.