Bitcoin May Track S&P 500 After September Rate Cut, JP Morgan Warns; Lark Davis Bullish for Q4

• JP Morgan warns a September rate-cut may spark a “sell the news” event

• Crypto markets are closely correlated with equities, so Bitcoin may rise or fall with the S&P 500.

• Recommended risk measures include VIX calls and gold; historical data shows rate cuts outside recessions can still lift markets.

JP Morgan sell the news warning: markets may sell off after a September rate cut — prepare with hedges and monitor crypto correlations. Read actionable steps now.

What did JP Morgan warn about a September rate cut?

JP Morgan “sell the news” warning states an expected September 17 interest rate cut could spark significant sell-offs as investors take profits, despite a 30% S&P 500 rally since April. The bank cites inflation risks, a soft jobs report and seasonal September weakness as key triggers.

How might crypto react to a “sell the news” event?

Crypto, especially Bitcoin, has shown high correlation with equities. If the S&P 500 falls sharply on a rate-cut “sell the news,” Bitcoin may decline in tandem. Conversely, if markets interpret the cut as bullish, both stocks and crypto could rally.

Why are financial institutions recommending hedges now?

Banks recommend hedges because short-term volatility risk increases around monetary policy shifts. Suggested tactics include buying VIX calls and allocating to gold to protect portfolios from rapid equity drawdowns.

What did Bloomberg Terminal report about the warning?

Bloomberg Terminal reported that JP Morgan warned markets about risks surrounding the expected September 17 rate cut. The bank highlighted inflation persistence, weak jobs data readings and trade-tariff impacts as contributing factors to potential volatility.

What is Lark Davis saying about Q4 crypto outlook?

Crypto commentator Lark Davis tweeted he is bullish for Q4, noting that despite historically weak Septembers, several major coins show breakouts or sideways strength rather than collapses. He interprets this as constructive for a stronger Q4.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Bitcoin follow the stock market after a rate cut?

Bitcoin often tracks equities in periods of risk-on/risk-off sentiment. If equities sell off after a rate cut, Bitcoin may decline; if markets rally, Bitcoin may participate in the upside.

What short-term hedges should crypto holders consider?

Short-term hedges include VIX call options, allocating to gold, using put options on major crypto ETFs where available, and reducing leveraged positions to limit forced liquidations.

Key Takeaways

• JP Morgan warns: A September 17 rate cut could prompt a “sell the news” event and raise volatility.
• Crypto correlation: Bitcoin may follow the S&P 500; monitor cross-asset moves closely.
• Hedge actions: Consider VIX calls, gold, tighter stops and reduced leverage to protect portfolios.

Conclusion

JP Morgan’s “sell the news” warning highlights tangible short-term risks around the expected September rate cut. Market participants should weigh hedging strategies and monitor equity-crypto correlations closely. COINOTAG will update this story as official announcements and market data emerge; prepare portfolios accordingly.

Published: 2025-09-08 • Updated: 2025-09-08 • Author: COINOTAG