Bitcoin Miners Navigate Tight Margins Amid Flat Hashprice and Rising Difficulty

  • Bitcoin miners are navigating a tumultuous landscape, facing shrinking profit margins as hashprice stagnates amidst rising operational challenges.

  • Despite a slight rebound in Bitcoin’s price, many miners find themselves under continuous financial strain due to increasing competition and outdated mining equipment.

  • Will Baxter from Braiins highlighted that smaller miners are particularly vulnerable, stating, “The longer we chop sideways at these price levels, the more hashrate we can expect to see come offline.”

The current state of Bitcoin mining reveals significant challenges, with stagnant hashprice and increased operational difficulties impacting miner profitability.

Hashprice Stability Amidst Rising Costs

As of late March, Bitcoin’s mining hashprice has remained fixed at $48 per petahash per second (PH/s), despite an uptick in network difficulty and reduced transaction fees. This stagnation poses serious threats to miners’ operational viability as the mining landscape evolves.

Recent Trends in Mining Revenue

Following a downturn in Bitcoin’s price to $80,000 earlier this month, a recovery has been observed, with values climbing to $85,172. Even so, daily mining revenues of $39.23 million still fall below sustainable levels, marking a concerning decline from $47 million per day just a few months ago.

Daily Mining Revenue Chart

Source: Braiins

Transaction Fees Taking a Hit

Transaction fees have dropped sharply, constituting a mere 1.12% of block rewards as of March 24, 2025. This figure represents the lowest proportion since January 2022, significantly impacting miners who rely on transaction fees for additional revenue. The average per-block fee income now stands at under 0.04 BTC, a troubling statistic for many miners already operating in slim margins.

Transaction Fees Chart

Source: Braiins

Efficiency Upgrades as a Survival Strategy

In response to the waning profitability of older mining rigs, many miners are compelled to seek efficiencies. Machines like the Antminer S19 XP and S19 Pro yield $0.088 and $0.067 per kilowatt-hour, which is increasingly unviable against regional electricity prices. The necessity for upgrades pushes countless operators toward adopting newer, more efficient models, such as the Antminer S21 Hyd, which boast higher profitability.

Difficulty Adjustment Impacts

The inherent lag in Bitcoin’s difficulty recalibration process means miners are currently facing heightened challenges, with an increase of 5.6% compounding their struggles despite a decrease in overall hashrate. Will Baxter notes that public miners enjoy some insulation due to better hardware, while many smaller competitors are in jeopardy of shuttering operations.

Network Difficulty Chart

Source: X

Potential for Relief Ahead

Looking forward to the next adjustment, projected for April 7, a potential drop in difficulty of 4.3% could provide the much-needed respite for struggling miners. The current average block time suggests that such a recalibration is likely, providing a temporary relief amidst ongoing pressures. However, the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin’s price trajectory continues to weigh heavily on miner sentiment.

Conclusion

The state of Bitcoin mining signals a crucial inflection point, where operational efficiency, technological upgrades, and market dynamics will determine the future for miners. With key decisions looming, miners must navigate these challenging waters carefully.

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