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Bitcoin Retests $115K Neckline Amid Bullish Momentum Ahead of Potential $118,800 Breakout


  • Bitcoin holds support at the weekly neckline after a strong breakout, confirming bullish momentum.

  • Bulls focus on surpassing $118,800 to trigger a potential rally toward $125,000 next week.

  • Open interest reaches an all-time high of $44.5 billion, signaling increased leverage and volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.

Bitcoin retests $115K neckline with bulls targeting $118,800 breakout amid record $44.5B open interest. Stay updated on key market moves before the FOMC.

Bitcoin’s Neckline Retest Signals Strong Bullish Structure

Bitcoin is currently retesting the weekly neckline between $115,000 and $116,000, a critical support zone following a breakout above $113,000. This retest confirms the inverse Head & Shoulders pattern formed over six months, reinforcing the bullish trend. Price consolidation above this neckline suggests sustained upward momentum as bulls defend this level.

What Does the Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern Indicate for Bitcoin?

The inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a reliable bullish reversal indicator. Bitcoin’s breakout above the neckline, previously resistance between $105,000 and $110,000, now acts as strong support. This pattern often precedes significant price advances, with Bitcoin maintaining higher highs and lows since the breakout, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.

Bitcoin market capitalization and price chart
Source: CoinMarketCap

Data from CoinMarketCap shows Bitcoin’s market cap at $2.33 trillion with a 1.79% price increase in the last 24 hours. Despite a 26.54% drop in trading volume to $69.31 billion, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading near $117,595 and holding key support levels.

How Are Bulls Positioning for the Next Breakout?

Market observers note that bulls must push Bitcoin above the $118,800 resistance to confirm a breakout from the current wedge pattern. Clearing this level could trigger a rally toward the $125,000 target, potentially occurring within the next week. This breakout would validate the bullish structure and attract further buying interest.

Bitcoin wedge pattern analysis
Source: CaptainFaibik(X)

Meanwhile, open interest has surged to a record $44.5 billion, indicating increased leverage in the market. This rise in open interest, coupled with recent price dips, suggests heightened volatility. Institutional capital inflows via ETFs differentiate this cycle from previous corrections, adding complexity to market dynamics.

The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on July 29 is a key event. Market participants anticipate potential rate cuts, which could significantly impact Bitcoin’s price trajectory and overall market sentiment.

What Impact Could the FOMC Meeting Have on Bitcoin?

The FOMC’s rate decision is expected to influence Bitcoin’s short-term momentum. A rate cut could boost risk appetite, driving further inflows into crypto assets. Conversely, a hawkish stance might increase market uncertainty. Traders are closely monitoring this event to adjust positions accordingly.

How Does Open Interest Affect Bitcoin’s Volatility?

Open interest reflects the total value of outstanding derivative contracts. A surge to $44.5 billion signals increased speculative activity and leverage, which can amplify price swings. While this can lead to rapid gains, it also raises the risk of sharp corrections, emphasizing the need for cautious trading strategies.


Frequently Asked Questions

What does the $115K–$116K neckline retest mean for Bitcoin’s future?

The neckline retest confirms Bitcoin’s bullish structure, suggesting strong support and increasing the likelihood of a sustained upward trend toward $125,000.

Why is open interest important for Bitcoin traders?

Open interest indicates market leverage and potential volatility. High open interest can lead to bigger price swings, making it a key metric for risk management.


Key Takeaways

  • Neckline Retest: Bitcoin holds critical support at $115K–$116K after a breakout, confirming bullish momentum.
  • Bullish Targets: Bulls aim to surpass $118,800 to trigger a rally toward $125,000.
  • Market Dynamics: Open interest hits $44.5B, signaling increased leverage and potential volatility ahead of the FOMC meeting.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s retest of the $115K–$116K neckline reinforces a strong bullish structure, with bulls targeting a breakout above $118,800 to extend gains toward $125,000. Rising open interest and the upcoming FOMC meeting add layers of complexity, making this a pivotal moment for traders and investors alike. Staying informed and monitoring key levels will be essential as the market navigates these developments.


  • Bitcoin is retesting the $115K–$116K neckline after a breakout above $113K, signaling sustained bullish momentum.

  • Bulls are targeting a breakout at $118,800 to push Bitcoin toward the $125,000 mark in the near term.

  • Open interest has surged to $44.5 billion, indicating increased leverage and volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting on July 29.

Bitcoin retests $115K neckline with bulls aiming for $118,800 breakout amid record $44.5B open interest. Stay informed on market trends before the FOMC decision.

Bitcoin’s Neckline Retest Confirms Bullish Momentum

Bitcoin has formed a confirmed inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart, with the neckline between $115,000 and $116,000 now acting as strong support. After breaking above $113,000, Bitcoin surged near $144,000 and is currently consolidating above the neckline, maintaining a bullish structure.

Why Is the Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern Important?

This pattern is a classic bullish reversal signal. Bitcoin’s breakout above the neckline, previously a resistance zone, suggests a strong likelihood of continued upward movement. Price action shows higher highs and lows, reinforcing the positive trend.

Bitcoin market capitalization and price chart
Source: CoinMarketCap

CoinMarketCap data reveals Bitcoin’s market cap at $2.33 trillion, with a 1.79% price increase over 24 hours. Trading volume decreased by 26.54% to $69.31 billion, while Bitcoin trades near $117,595.

Bulls Eye $118,800 Breakout Amid Rising Open Interest

Bulls must clear the $118,800 resistance to confirm a breakout from the wedge pattern, potentially driving Bitcoin toward $125,000. Open interest has reached an all-time high of $44.5 billion, indicating increased leverage and potential volatility.

Bitcoin wedge pattern analysis
Source: CaptainFaibik(X)

The current cycle differs from past corrections due to institutional ETF inflows. The upcoming FOMC meeting on July 29 is a critical event that could influence Bitcoin’s price direction, especially if the Federal Reserve announces a rate cut.

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