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- Bitcoin’s recent correction might be nearing its conclusion, signaling a potential rally in the weeks ahead, according to cryptocurrency analyst Teddy.
- In a recent tweet, Teddy suggested that if historical trends hold, Bitcoin’s correction could bottom out at around $61,000.
- Teddy elaborated that each correction in the current Bitcoin bull market has found support at the cryptocurrency’s 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Financial analysts predict a potential rebound for Bitcoin, drawing insights from historical patterns and market indicators.
Bitcoin Expected to Stabilize Around $61,000
Analyst Teddy has noted that throughout this bull market cycle, every significant correction in Bitcoin’s price has consistently found support at the 21-week EMA. This specific moving average emphasizes recent price data, making it a crucial indicator in short-term market analysis compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
The EMA’s responsiveness to recent price movements provides a more accurate reflection of current market conditions. Given Bitcoin’s historical tendency to recover after touching its 21-week EMA, Teddy predicts that the cryptocurrency could bottom out at approximately $61,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $61,500, having briefly dipped below $61,000, reaching as low as $60,900. It remains to be seen whether this prediction will hold true.
Potential for Further Downside in Bitcoin
Despite optimism from segments of the crypto community anticipating a bullish reversal, several indicators suggest that Bitcoin may face additional downward pressure. Recent data from CryptoQuant highlights a lack of bullish momentum, underlined by sluggish stablecoin liquidity and tepid demand for Bitcoin from large-scale investors.
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The analysts at the crypto intelligence firm noted a modest 4.8% monthly growth in demand from cryptocurrency whales, alongside a continued reduction in holdings among traders. Additionally, stablecoin liquidity is growing at the slowest rate since November 2023, reflecting broader market hesitancy.
Moreover, demand from U.S-based Bitcoin and Ethereum investors, typically strong contributors to market rallies, remains weak. The continuous outflows from U.S-spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) since mid-June further underscore this muted demand.
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Reports from CryptoPotato also warned that Bitcoin might experience further declines due to ongoing selling pressure from miners. As operational costs and hash rates increase, several weaker mining operations may need to cease activities before Bitcoin’s price can begin to rise again sustainably.
Conclusion
In summary, while historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin might find stability at the $61,000 level, present conditions indicate potential vulnerabilities. In the short term, market participants should stay vigilant of the broader indicators and ongoing miner activity. This nuanced understanding will be crucial for those navigating the volatile Bitcoin market, balancing cautious optimism with awareness of persistent downside risks.
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