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Bitcoin’s resilience shines amid recent market turbulence, with spot traders purchasing $1.07 billion worth of BTC, reflecting growing bullish sentiment.
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Despite bearish market winds, the contrasting behavior of spot traders compared to institutional investors highlights a potential turning point for Bitcoin.
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‘The increase in spot market buying suggests a significant divergence in trader sentiment,’ noted a recent report from COINOTAG.
In a striking contrast to bearish market trends, Bitcoin spot traders’ robust buying activity may signal a potential price surge ahead.
Spot traders buy more BTC as institutional investors sell
In the past week, Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. experienced net outflows totaling $552.5 million, indicating a larger selling trend among institutional investors.
Such considerable outflows typically point toward bearish market conditions; however, Bitcoin exhibited surprising stability during this time. Analysis from COINOTAG revealed that while U.S. institutional investors offloaded their positions, spot traders’ buy orders surged, effectively neutralizing the negative impact.
According to Coinglass data, net exchange flow for Bitcoin turned negative, with spot traders acquiring a staggering $1.07 billion worth of BTC over the last week.
Source: Coinglass
This robust buying from spot traders, nearly double that of the institutional sell-off, signals a more optimistic outlook among retail traders. Should this momentum persist, it could pave the way for significant price movements in the near future.
Korean and U.S. investors back down
The notable surge in market purchases has not been fueled by Korean or U.S. investors, which is often the case during major trades. Since the start of February, Korean retail investors have decreased their Bitcoin buying activity, with the Korean premium index dropping to 2.18, its lowest since January 18th.
Source: CryptoQuant
Meanwhile, U.S. retail investors are also selling, as indicated by a negative Coinbase Premium Index at -0.9. This trend suggests a likelihood that selling pressure may continue among U.S. retail investors.
However, this scenario also presents a compelling opportunity for Bitcoin. Should Korean and U.S. retail investors resume acquisition, it may trigger significant price changes, contributing to the ongoing buying momentum in the spot market.
Divergence creates an opportunity for a price surge
Notably, key metrics from the derivatives market reveal a divergence that suggests an upcoming rally for Bitcoin. As of the latest data, buying volume has surged, exceeding selling volume despite a significant wave of long liquidations.
CryptoQuant reports indicate an increase in the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, which rose from 0.92 to nearly 0.99. A crossing above the one mark could bolster the current bullish sentiment in the market.
Source: CryptoQuant
Interestingly, this substantial surge in buying occurred alongside a long liquidation of $21.9 million. Such liquidations typically happen when the asset’s price moves against the expectations of traders anticipating a bullish shift.
The persistence of buying activity, even amid these liquidations, suggests strong trader conviction. This bolsters the case for a potential price rebound, signaling an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin’s future price trajectory.
Conclusion
In summary, while market sentiment remains cautious, the contrasting behaviors of spot traders and institutional investors indicate a potential turning point for Bitcoin. Spot traders’ robust purchasing activity could serve as a bulwark against bearish pressures, suggesting that a significant price bounce is possible if buying momentum continues. Ultimately, the interplay of these forces will be instrumental in shaping the upcoming market landscape for Bitcoin.