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Bitcoin Treasuries Add BTC Amid ETF Outflows, Suggesting Mixed Sentiment on Buying the Dip


  • Corporate Bitcoin treasuries added approximately 630 BTC ($72 million) on Monday, marking a new high for August.

  • Conversely, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a net outflow of $323.5 million, led by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust.

  • Expert analysis suggests that treasury sales above 1,500 BTC often signal local BTC price bottoms, indicating potential buying opportunities.

Bitcoin corporate treasuries boost holdings amid ETF sell-offs, signaling strong institutional confidence. Discover the latest BTC market trends and expert insights.

Why Are Bitcoin Corporate Treasuries Increasing Holdings While ETFs Sell Off?

Bitcoin corporate treasuries are actively buying the dip, adding over 600 BTC on Monday despite broader market uncertainty and ETF outflows. This trend reflects a divergence in institutional strategies, with corporate buyers showing confidence in BTC’s long-term value. Data from Capriole Investments reveals that corporate treasury purchases have been consistent throughout July, culminating in a peak buy of over 26,700 BTC ($3 billion) on July 21.

How Do ETF Outflows Contrast with Treasury Buying Trends?

While corporate treasuries accumulate Bitcoin, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw substantial outflows totaling $323.5 million on the same day. The largest ETF, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, accounted for $292.2 million of this sell-off. This contrast suggests differing risk appetites and investment horizons between ETFs and corporate treasuries. Institutional investors managing ETFs may be reacting to short-term volatility, whereas corporate treasuries focus on strategic accumulation.

BTC/USD 1-day chart with treasury buys and sells
BTC/USD 1-day chart with treasury buys and sells. Source: Capriole Investments

What Does Historical Data Say About Treasury Sales and BTC Price Movements?

Historical patterns indicate that when Bitcoin treasury companies sell more than 1,500 BTC in a day, it often coincides with local BTC price lows, signaling potential buying opportunities. Capriole founder Charles Edwards highlighted that the last significant treasury outflow occurred on March 31, 2025, when over 1,700 BTC were sold. This preceded a BTC price bottom near $74,500 about a week later. Such data underscores the strategic nature of treasury movements as market indicators.

BTC/USD 1-day chart with treasury buys and sells
BTC/USD 1-day chart with treasury buys and sells. Source: Capriole Investments

How Are Analysts Interpreting Current ETF Flows and Market Sentiment?

ETF analysts remain cautiously optimistic despite recent sell-offs. Trading firm QCP Capital noted that inflows resuming and volatility compression could support a buy-the-dip narrative. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas emphasized that buying dips has historically yielded positive returns over decades, suggesting current market pessimism may present opportunities. His analysis, shared on social media, highlights the enduring effectiveness of dip-buying strategies.

US spot Bitcoin ETF netflows
US spot Bitcoin ETF netflows (screenshot). Source: Farside Investors

Lot of dooming going on, but don’t be surprised if traders buy the dip. Why? Because it works- and has had for literally DECADES. Here’s a look at the avg weekly returns after a dip. Not as good a pop as it produced in 2021 and the ’90s, but still positive.

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) August 4, 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is driving the increase in Bitcoin corporate treasury holdings?

Bitcoin corporate treasuries are increasing holdings due to confidence in BTC’s long-term value, buying the dip amid market volatility while ETFs reduce exposure.

Why are Bitcoin ETFs experiencing significant outflows?

Bitcoin ETFs face outflows as institutional investors react to short-term market uncertainty, opting to reduce BTC exposure despite corporate treasury accumulation.


Key Takeaways

  • Corporate treasuries added 630 BTC on Monday: Demonstrates institutional confidence amid market dips.
  • ETF sell-offs totaled $323.5 million: Reflects contrasting investor sentiment and risk tolerance.
  • Historical treasury sales signal BTC price bottoms: Large treasury outflows often precede local lows, indicating buying opportunities.

Conclusion

Bitcoin corporate treasury accumulation amid ETF sell-offs highlights a split in institutional strategies. While ETFs reduce exposure in response to short-term volatility, corporate treasuries continue buying, signaling confidence in BTC’s long-term potential. This divergence, supported by historical data and expert analysis, suggests that current market conditions may present strategic buying opportunities for investors focused on Bitcoin’s future growth.


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