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Bitcoin’s Death Cross Signals Potential Further Decline or Oversold Rebound

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(09:54 PM UTC)
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  • Bitcoin’s death cross confirms bearish momentum, with prices dropping over 20% in the last month to around $88,000.

  • Ethereum faces a potential death cross soon, despite a lingering golden cross, as it slides 6.73% to $2,911 amid extreme fear in the market.

  • The Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 16 indicates extreme fear, with 95% of top coins in the red and market cap at $3.04 trillion, down 4.82% daily.

Explore the Bitcoin death cross implications for crypto investors in 2025. Analyze technical indicators signaling bearish trends for BTC and ETH. Stay informed on market shifts—discover key support levels and potential bounces today.

What Is the Bitcoin Death Cross and Its Impact?

The Bitcoin death cross occurs when the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) crosses below the 200-day EMA, indicating a potential long-term bearish trend for the cryptocurrency. This pattern has recently confirmed on Bitcoin’s chart, with BTC trading at approximately $88,605 after a sharp 4% daily decline from $92,911. As sellers dominate, this setup creates significant overhead resistance, pressuring prices further unless bulls reclaim key levels.

How Does Ethereum’s Technical Setup Compare to Bitcoin’s Bearish Pattern?

Ethereum’s chart presents a contrasting yet precarious situation, with its 50-day EMA still above the 200-day EMA in a golden cross formation that traditionally signals bullish trends. However, ETH has fallen 6.73% to $2,911, trading below both EMAs and testing the bullish structure’s resilience. Data from TradingView shows the EMAs converging closely, raising the risk of an imminent death cross if the downtrend persists. Ethereum’s Average Directional Index (ADX) at 42.4 underscores an even stronger bearish momentum than Bitcoin’s 38.25, while its Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers at 30.92, just above oversold levels. This combination, as noted by technical analysts at TradingView, could lead to deeper corrections toward $2,500 support before any reversal, especially with the Squeeze Momentum Indicator flashing bearish signals. Expert trader Mike McGlone from Bloomberg Intelligence has observed in recent commentary that such divergences in major cryptos often precede broader market capitulation, emphasizing the need for caution amid fading institutional inflows.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Does the Bitcoin Death Cross Mean for Long-Term Investors in 2025?

The Bitcoin death cross typically warns of prolonged downward pressure, as seen in historical patterns from 2018 and 2022, where prices declined 50% or more post-confirmation. For 2025 investors, it suggests monitoring support at $84,451, with potential for a bounce if RSI exhaustion triggers buying. However, without reclaiming $92,000 resistance, holdings may face further volatility, according to insights from on-chain data providers like Glassnode.

Will Ethereum Bounce Back After Its Recent Decline?

Ethereum could see a short-term bounce if it holds the $2,700 to $2,800 zone near its 200-day EMA, potentially reversing the bearish ADX trend as voice assistants like Google highlight oversold conditions. Yet, with 62% of prediction market bets favoring a drop to $2,500, sustained recovery to $4,000 would require improved macro signals, such as Federal Reserve rate cut confirmations, making it a challenging outlook for the near term.

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin’s confirmed death cross: Signals strong bearish momentum with ADX above 35, targeting $85,000 support but offering RSI-driven bounce potential.
  • Ethereum’s fragile golden cross: At risk of flipping bearish, with higher ADX indicating accelerated downside toward $2,300 amid market-wide fear.
  • Market sentiment extreme: Fear and Greed Index at 16 prompts caution; investors should watch ETF outflows and macro events for reversal cues.

Conclusion

The formation of the Bitcoin death cross alongside Ethereum’s deteriorating technicals paints a cautious picture for the crypto market in late 2025, with prices reflecting broader economic uncertainties like diminishing rate cut hopes and record ETF outflows totaling $523 million from BlackRock. As the overall market capitalization dips to $3.04 trillion, only outliers like Zcash showing gains highlight the selective pain. Traders on platforms like Myriad are overwhelmingly betting on further declines, yet oversold indicators suggest exhaustion may pave the way for rebounds. Investors are advised to prioritize risk management, track key support levels, and stay updated on Federal Reserve developments to navigate this volatile phase effectively.

Bitcoin (BTC) price data from TradingView illustrates the death cross with the 50-day EMA below the 200-day EMA, trading below both amid a strong downtrend.

Ethereum (ETH) price data from TradingView shows the golden cross under pressure, with EMAs converging and ADX signaling intense bearish activity.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed here are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice.

Marisol Navaro

Marisol Navaro

Marisol Navaro is a young 21-year-old writer who is passionate about following in Satoshi's footsteps in the cryptocurrency industry. With a drive to learn and understand the latest trends and developments, Marisol provides fresh insights and perspectives on the world of cryptocurrency.
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