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Amidst rising Bitcoin prices, crypto analysts reveal that a significant move from Bitcoin could trigger the much-anticipated altcoin season.
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According to Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal, the volatility in altcoins will persist until Bitcoin decisively breaks the $100,000 threshold.
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“We’re really waiting to see that exuberant move,” Hundal stated during an exclusive interview at Aus Crypto Con 2024, highlighting the dependence of altcoins on Bitcoin’s performance.
As Bitcoin approaches $100,000, analysts emphasize its critical role in the altcoin market’s next phase amidst ongoing volatility in cryptocurrency prices.
Altcoin Volatility Persists Until Bitcoin Breakout
In the current market landscape, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $96,476, reflecting a recent decline from its near $100,000 peak of $99,605 on November 23. Analysts, including Hundal, predict that altcoins will continue to experience significant price fluctuations—characterized by “big rallies and pullbacks”—until Bitcoin records a breakout. Hundal points to memecoins as potential high performers, albeit with the caveat that most altcoins will exhibit choppy market patterns during this transitional phase.
Recent Altcoin Performance Highlights
Hundal’s observations are underscored by recent market activity. For instance, Solana (SOL) surged by 12.98% in one day only to pull back nearly 13% in the following five days. Similarly, Pepe (PEPE) demonstrated extreme volatility, gaining 93.15% in just 24 hours after being listed on major exchanges like Coinbase and Robinhood, before retracting approximately 22% the very next day.
The Critical Role of Bitcoin Dominance
In analyzing market dynamics, Hundal places a strong emphasis on Bitcoin dominance, which currently sits at 58.30% according to TradingView. He anticipates that Bitcoin dominance could rise to the 65% to 70% range before it begins to decline, which would be an opportune moment for altcoins to gain traction.
Institutional Investment Trends and Their Impact
This analysis aligns with insights from notable trader Mikybull Crypto, who predicts that declines in Bitcoin dominance may occur in the near future. However, some analysts, including CryptoQuant’s CEO Ki Young Ju, caution against expecting altcoin seasons akin to previous cycles. Ju points out that institutional investors, who are currently driving Bitcoin’s surge, typically lack interest in more volatile speculative assets. He noted, “For altcoins to reach a new all-time high market capitalization, they will require a significant influx of fresh capital to crypto exchanges.”
Conclusion
As the cryptocurrency market evolves, the path for altcoins remains heavily influenced by Bitcoin’s performance. Observations from analysts indicate that investors should remain cautious about altcoin volatility until a definitive Bitcoin breakout occurs. The interplay between institutional investment trends and Bitcoin dominance will be critical in shaping the future of the altcoin market, making it imperative for traders to monitor these developments closely.
