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Bitcoin’s Stagnation May Signal Rising Pressure for Bulls, Glassnode Suggests

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(10:36 AM UTC)
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  • Bitcoin’s price is confined to a narrow range, preventing both significant gains and losses.

  • Accumulation persists during dips, but overall market momentum has weakened substantially.

  • Unrealized losses have surged to over 4%, the highest in nearly two years, indicating growing investor anxiety.

Discover why Bitcoin remains stuck in neutral amid fading bullish signals. Analysts highlight critical levels and rising stress in this detailed breakdown. Stay informed on crypto trends for smarter investment decisions.

What is causing Bitcoin to remain stuck in neutral?

Bitcoin stuck in neutral stems from a combination of evaporating momentum and persistent sideways price action, as detailed in recent analysis by blockchain firm Glassnode. Despite steady accumulation by investors during price dips, the lack of strong buying conviction has trapped the asset in a tight corridor, preventing any decisive breakout. This stagnation is further compounded by thinning liquidity and negative ETF flows, fostering a cautious market environment.

How are key price levels influencing Bitcoin’s trajectory?

Glassnode points to two pivotal price thresholds acting as gatekeepers for Bitcoin’s next move: support near $95,000, linked to quarterly cost bases, and resistance at $102,700, where short-term holders once found footing. Until these levels are reclaimed, the cryptocurrency is likely to oscillate around a tentative base at $81,300, which serves more as a defensive barrier than a launchpad for upward momentum. This dynamic underscores the psychological barriers bulls must overcome to regain control, with failure to do so potentially prolonging the current impasse.

Delving deeper into market indicators, Glassnode’s data reveals a landscape of underlying tension. Long-term holders continue to realize profits selectively, while network-wide unrealized losses have escalated, breaching the 4% mark on the Relative Unrealized Loss metric—a level not seen in almost two years. This spike echoes periods of past market fragility, where investor sentiment frayed under similar conditions. Realized losses, though sporadic, indicate pockets of capitulation, particularly among those who entered at higher prices.

Institutional activity adds another layer of caution. Spot ETF inflows have reversed into outflows, reflecting reduced appetite from large players. Liquidity in Bitcoin’s spot markets has noticeably thinned, with fewer substantial bids appearing during volatility spikes. Futures markets show subdued participation, and options trading leans heavily toward protective puts rather than bullish calls, suggesting traders are prioritizing downside hedges over speculative gains.

As the year-end Federal Reserve meeting looms, market participants are adopting a wait-and-see posture, anticipating potential policy shifts that could inject volatility. Glassnode advises that without a reversal in selling pressure or an influx of fresh liquidity, Bitcoin’s muted performance may extend, testing the resolve of even the most steadfast holders.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Glassnode mean by Bitcoin entering a slow-burn stress phase?

Glassnode describes this phase as a gradual buildup of pressure where buyer interest persists but lacks the intensity to drive prices higher, leading to prolonged consolidation. Unrealized losses rising above 4% and thinning liquidity highlight increasing stress without immediate collapse, potentially lasting until a catalyst emerges.

Will Bitcoin break out of its current neutral range before the end of 2025?

Based on current indicators, a breakout depends on reclaiming $95,000 and $102,700, alongside improved ETF flows and liquidity. The upcoming Fed decision could provide direction, but analysts caution that ongoing stagnation risks further erosion of confidence if these elements do not align positively.

Key Takeaways

  • Stagnation Over Collapse: Bitcoin is holding key supports but lacks the momentum for advancement, with time amplifying risks to bullish sentiment.
  • Critical Thresholds: Reclaiming $95,000 and $102,700 is essential to signal renewed strength; failure keeps the asset pinned near $81,300.
  • Investor Action: Monitor ETF flows and unrealized loss metrics closely, as they offer early warnings of shifting market dynamics—consider defensive strategies amid uncertainty.

Conclusion

In summary, Bitcoin’s stuck in neutral position reflects a market that is resilient yet vulnerable, with Glassnode’s analysis illuminating waning momentum and escalating unrealized losses as primary concerns. As institutional caution persists and key levels like $95,000 loom large, the path forward hinges on liquidity recovery and macro triggers. Investors should prepare for potential extended consolidation, using this period to reassess positions and stay attuned to evolving crypto trends for informed decision-making in the months ahead.

Jocelyn Blake

Jocelyn Blake

Jocelyn Blake is a 29-year-old writer with a particular interest in NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens). With a love for exploring the latest trends in the cryptocurrency space, Jocelyn provides valuable insights on the world of NFTs.
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