Bitcoin Closes Week at Upper Consolidation Range on ETF Inflows; Fed Meeting Could Make-or-Break Rally

COINOTAG reported on September 14 that CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. observed Bitcoin closed the week near the upper bound of its consolidation band. Adler cited institutional ETF inflows and heightened activity in the derivatives market as principal drivers of the recent price uptick, while noting transactional metrics showed limited change.

According to Adler, on-chain indicators continue to reflect a long-term HODL posture, implying constrained available supply and muted distribution. Market participants are therefore focusing on liquidity, exchange balances and open interest to assess whether the current move has technical depth or is primarily flow-driven.

Adler identified the upcoming Fed meeting as the primary macro catalyst, framing outcomes in conditional terms: a dovish signal would likely be perceived as supportive, whereas a hawkish tone could see prices recalibrate to the neutral consolidation range. His analysis emphasizes policy risk as the key near-term determinant.