Bitcoin Faces Key Support Near $107K–$108K as Fed Rate-Cut Doubts and U.S. Recession Risks Roil Markets

In a rare public cue, the U.S. Treasury warned sectors show recession signals, while Fed policy remains uncertain, stoking market risk. The stance signals White House pressure and internal divisions. Three Fed officials warned that December rate cuts are not guaranteed, keeping traders focused on the policy path and crypto liquidity.

From a macro lens, resilient growth sits alongside softer real estate activity and lending strain, while shutdown-related data delays obscure policy clarity. Investors have begun repricing risk assets and recalibrating the U.S. yield curve, lifting near-term volatility and sustaining Bitcoin and broader crypto safe-haven demand.

Bitunix analyst view: BTC trades near short-term support around $107,300–$108,000; a break could trigger liquidations toward $104,900. Resistance sits at $113,800–$116,800, aligned with liquidity clusters. As balance-sheet runoff nears completion, policy inflection looms, but equity valuations and leverage risk remain. Data-driven easing could reprice crypto into a new equilibrium.