According to COINOTAG on September 26, cryptocurrency commentator Ansem outlined a probabilistic Bitcoin price scenario: a 15% chance of a pullback to $105,000 before resuming to new highs, 60% for a retreat toward $90,000 followed by recovery, 20% for a drop to roughly $75,000, and a 5% tail-risk to $50,000 in the event of a severe economic recession. These percentages reflect Ansem’s market view and should be read as commentary on the crypto market, not definitive forecasts.
Ansem additionally recommended accumulation if BTC falls below $100,000 in late 2025/early 2026 with potential disposition into strength in 2028, and he signalled skepticism about the traditional four‑year cycle while anticipating a prolonged bear market and a possible uptrend from Q2 2026. Investors are advised to emphasize risk management, diversification and independent due diligence rather than rely on single-source predictions.