CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted that the Bitcoin Risk Index gauges how hazardous the current market structure is versus the past three years, with elevated readings increasing the likelihood of a rapid pullback or liquidation. The index currently registers a modest 23%, signaling a relatively stable environment and a reduced near-term downside probability, consistent with conditions observed between September and December 2023. Market participants are closely monitoring tomorrow’s comments from Fed Chair Powell as a potential macroeconomic catalyst that could shift risk sentiment. Institutional traders and on-chain analysts are advised to track liquidity flows and risk metrics for informed positioning rather than relying on headline noise.