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Fed Rate Cut Eases Recession Risks as MOVE Index Falls to Fresh Low, Signaling Biggest Annual Decline in Bond Volatility Since 1988

COINOTAG News reports that the Fed‘s rate-cut stance has helped ease recession fears, while the ICE BofA MOVE Index, a key gauge of bond-market volatility, is hovering near 59—the lowest reading since October 2024. After trading around 99 at end-2024, the MOVE Index is on track to post one of the most substantial annual declines on record (data going back to 1988), a move historians compare with the 2009 crisis.

From a crypto-market perspective, the softer backdrop for bond volatility could improve funding conditions and contribute to a more measured risk sentiment in crypto markets. With liquidity dynamics in focus, participants will closely monitor policy guidance, macro data, and cross-asset correlations affecting assets such as Bitcoin and other major digital assets.

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