COINOTAG News, in its December update, cites CME’s FedWatch probabilities for the Federal Reserve’s near-term action. Markets price in a 25 basis point rate cut in December at 89.4%, with only a 10.6% chance of no change. The read underscores shifting expectations toward policy accommodation as inflation data and growth signals are weighed by policymakers.

Looking to January next year, the probability of another 25 basis point cut rises to 68.5%, with 7.8% odds of no change and a 23.8% probability of a 50 basis point easing. These CME FedWatch readings signal a continued tilt toward accommodative policy, shaping crypto market risk sentiment and liquidity dynamics into early 2025.