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On September 16, COINOTAG reported diverse perspectives from global investment banks regarding the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Goldman Sachs anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut, while JPMorgan Chase projects a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction. Deutsche Bank suggests this move could signal broader rate cuts throughout 2024.
UniCredit expresses skepticism, noting that a minor 25 basis point cut may not significantly revive the US dollar. UBS highlights the potential influence of retail sales data on the Fed’s decision. Meanwhile, Commerzbank foresees stability in German government bonds amidst the anticipated US rate cuts.
In Europe, Citi observes no inclination for expediting interest rate reductions from the European Central Bank. Bank of America anticipates economic challenges impacting European equities. Capital Economics and ING warn of diminishing industrial contributions within the eurozone and potential difficulties in achieving industrial recovery respectively. Additionally, Moody’s expects the Bank of Japan to maintain its current stance, while Westpac Bank identifies policy divergences between the US and Japan as critical for the USD/JPY dynamics.
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| COINOTAG recommends • Members‑only research |
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