NABE Forecast: U.S. GDP to Grow 2% in 2026 as Inflation Eases and Job Growth Remains Weak; Fed Rate Cuts Expected

COINOTAG News summarizes a fresh NABE survey (Nov 3–11, 42 forecasters) showing a moderating U.S. growth path for 2026. The median expansion is 2%, up from October’s 1.8%, while job creation remains restrained. Inflation is seen easing from ~2.9% this year to ~2.6% in 2026, with tariffs cited as a meaningful driver. For crypto markets, this macro backdrop implies a measured risk appetite and selective asset allocation amid policy signals.

On the Fed rate path, analysts expect a 25 basis point cut in December, then a 50 basis point cut in 2026 toward a neutral stance. Traders should weigh how this trajectory affects liquidity and the risk premium embedded in digital assets. With non-farm payrolls projected at 58,000 this year and ~64,000 in 2026, and unemployment near 4.5% early next year, the inflation-growth mix supports disciplined risk management for crypto portfolios amid regulatory developments.