NABE Forecast: US Economy to Grow About 2% Next Year as Tariffs Weigh and the Fed Signals Slower Rate Cuts

NABE’s annual forecast shows U.S. growth near 2% for the coming year, with tepid job gains and the Fed set to slow its rate-cut cadence. For the crypto market, these macro signals heighten sensitivity to policy shifts and inflation readings as investors reassess risk-on/risk-off exposure in digital assets.

As per NABE, inflation is projected to average about 2.9% year-end and ease to 2.6% next year, with tariffs contributing 0.25–0.75 percentage points to the inflation read. In this context, central bank policy remains a primary driver for digital assets.

On policy trajectory, the Fed is expected to cut 25 basis points in December and roughly 50 basis points next year, moving toward a neutral stance. Given the inflation and unemployment outlook, risk management and diversification remain prudent for crypto portfolios.