U.S. Government Shutdown Could Become Longest in History as Analysts Warn, Kalshi Projects 41-Day Timeline

COINOTAG News reports that the U.S. federal shutdown, once expected to end within two to three weeks, has escalated into a broader political crisis with potential spillovers into November. As of Monday, the partial shutdown has endured 20 days; the record for a shutdown remains 35 days during Trump’s first term. Analysts from Beacon Policy Advisors warn the event could become the longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history, while Kalshi’s prediction market priced in roughly 41 days, up from about 14 days two weeks earlier.

Against this backdrop, crypto markets may absorb risk-off pressure as policy uncertainty weighs on macro sentiment. Traders should monitor regulatory uncertainty, potential effects on Bitcoin and other digital assets, and liquidity conditions at major exchanges. The episode underscores the ongoing need for disciplined risk management and credible analysis to navigate volatility across cryptocurrency markets.

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