BTC January 13, 2026: Critical Resistance Test in the Rising Momentum

Bitcoin caught a strong upward momentum from 93.641 dollar levels, shedding the 90.938 dollar lows with a 24-hour 1.65% gain and reinforcing uptrend signals. However, Supertrend's still bearish signal and the approaching 94.725 dollar resistance barrier are keeping investors cautious – could breaking this level open the door to a new rally toward 106,000 dollars?

Market Outlook and Current Situation

As of today, January 13, 2026, the Bitcoin market is trading in a clear uptrend on the daily timeframe. With the price stabilizing at the 93.641,50 dollar level, trading volume over the last 24 hours reached 23.64 billion dollars, forming a solid foundation in terms of liquidity. The 24-hour range was between 90.938,20 - 93.702,12 dollars, and this movement indicates short-term buyer dominance. BTC, maintaining its leading position in market capitalization, continues to exhibit relative strength despite fluctuations in the broader crypto ecosystem. In particular, according to BTC Spot Analysis data, an accumulation trend is observed in spot markets, signaling potential continued institutional inflows.

In multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence analysis, a total of 13 strong levels were identified across 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 3 supports/3 resistances on 1D, 2 supports/4 resistances on 3D, and 2 supports/3 resistances on 1W. This density highlights that the market is in a consolidation phase and at a critical turning point before volatility increases. The lack of significant news flow creates an environment where technical factors take center stage. Bitcoin's position above EMA20 (90.566 dollars) supports the short-term bullish structure, while deeper supports around 80,000 dollars could serve as a safety net in potential pullbacks. Market sentiment remains positive despite recent macroeconomic uncertainties; however, interest rate movements in traditional financial markets continue to indirectly affect BTC.

In the overall outlook, Bitcoin's recovery that began after leaving the 90,000 dollar band is gaining strength accompanied by rising volume. Nevertheless, Supertrend's bearish status keeps the risk of a sudden reversal on the table. Investors can follow futures data from the BTC Futures Analysis pages at this point to get clearer signals for leveraged positions.

Technical Analysis: Levels to Watch

Support Zones

The nearest support level stands out at 91.406,3411 dollars (score: 76/100); this level is the confluence point of recent low formations on the daily chart and aligns with the Fibonacci retracement's 38.2% extension. If the price pulls back here, it would be reasonable to expect quick buying pressure, as the volume profile indicates this region triggers aggressive long positions. Slightly below is 89.307,6133 dollars (62/100 score), which aligns with the weekly timeframe's EMA50 and forms a base from past volatility clusters. In a deeper scenario, 80.600 dollars (62/100) comes into play as a psychological threshold – this is the lower band of the major consolidation at the end of 2025 and the strongest multi-timeframe support confluence. Holding these supports preserves the integrity of the uptrend; otherwise, bearish momentum could gain speed.

Resistance Barriers

The short-term first resistance is at 92.519,9500 dollars (71/100), but since the current price is already above it, this level's psychological importance is diminished. The real test will begin at 94.724,7632 dollars (64/100); this level stems from the daily pivot and 3D chart resistance confluence. Upon breakout, the next target becomes 108.780,5713 dollars (66/100), where it overlaps with the Supertrend resistance (98.817 dollars), forming a strong ceiling. These barriers will test buyer strength; a volume-backed breakout opens the door to the 106,000 dollar bullish target, while rejection could lead to consolidation. Historically, similar resistance tests have seen BTC experience 5-10% pullbacks, so careful monitoring is essential.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

RSI (14) stands at 58.79 in a neutral-bullish zone; being far from overbought (70+), it leaves room for upward movement. This value confirms the recent recovery, with low divergence risk. The MACD indicator gives a clear bullish signal with a positive histogram – the MACD line trading above the signal line confirms momentum in favor of buyers. Histogram expansion signals increasing trend strength, while a potential crossover could issue a bearish warning.

Looking at the EMA structure, the price staying above EMA20 (90.566 dollars) reinforces short-term bullishness; the distance to EMA50 and EMA200 supports the medium-term uptrend. Supertrend's bearish status is the only inconsistency – this indicator, based on ATR trailing stop logic, marks 98.817 dollars as resistance and serves as an early warning. Overall trend strength is at a medium level with ADX (average 28); this indicates high potential for directional movement. On multi-timeframe, the 1W chart being within a bullish channel emphasizes that structural strength is preserved despite daily fluctuations. While momentum indicators paint a balanced picture, a Supertrend flip requires a close above 94,000+.

Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook

The risk/reward profile looks attractive from current levels: In the bullish scenario, the 106,000 dollar target offers 13.1% return, while on the bearish side, 80,000 dollars carries 14.5% loss risk – R/R ratio around 1:1.1 is neutral but carries asymmetric upside potential. For breakout trading, long above 94.725 dollars with stop-loss below 91.400; range trading offers short-term opportunities in the 91.400-94.700 band. Volatility (ATR ~2,500 dollars) is high, so position sizing is critical. In a negative scenario, breaking 91.400 could trigger a cascade to 89.300, then to 80.600; on the positive side, a 94.700 breakout accelerates the 98.800 Supertrend flip and paves the way for a 106,000+ rally.

The market outlook is bullish-leaning in the short term, but resistance tests will be decisive. Macro factors (interest rates, regulation) and volume profile should be monitored. A balanced approach should account for both upside and downside scenarios – while uptrend continuation is likely, Supertrend bearishness should not be underestimated. Investors should act according to their own risk tolerance.