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Can Low Volatility in Bitcoin Increase Optimism?

  • BTC, falling below $30,000, has led to speculation and a widespread downward trend. Despite the interest shown by institutional players in the future of Bitcoin, the overall outlook is still clouded with doubt.
  • Due to low volatility, there has been an increase in Open Positions in Bitcoin. Traders aimed to take advantage of price movements that still offer profit potential, albeit calmer.
  • There has also been an increase in the supply of long-term Bitcoin holders. This change in behavior among long-term holders may indicate their belief in the cryptocurrency’s recovery and growth potential.

Will the decrease in Bitcoin price below $30,000 continue the downward trend and decrease volatility? Can this increase optimism?

Bitcoin Price Remains Uncertain

bitcoin-btc (1)

Bitcoin remained unaffected by the recent fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market. Once unstoppable, BTC fell below $30,000, leading to speculation and a widespread downward trend. Despite the interest shown by institutional players in the future of Bitcoin, the overall outlook is still clouded with doubt.

As the price of Bitcoin dropped, there was a decrease in volatility. The cryptocurrency, known for its rapid price fluctuations, experienced a period of low volatility, causing fluctuations in the trading landscape.

This decrease in price fluctuations has led many traders and investors to ponder whether a more stable Bitcoin can reignite hope.

bitcoin-annualized-realized-volatility

In addition, due to low volatility, there has been an increase in Open Positions in Bitcoin. Traders, especially, aimed to take advantage of price movements that still offer profit potential, albeit calmer.

This trend indicates a desire among market participants to explore opportunities in a relatively stable market.

bitcoin-options-oi

Long-Term Investors Believe in Bitcoin

Parallel to this, there has been an increase in the supply of long-term Bitcoin holders. This change in behavior among long-term holders may indicate their belief in the cryptocurrency’s recovery and growth potential.

The increased supply from long-term holders may help reduce selling pressure during price fluctuations, thus contributing to a more stable market environment. However, there has been no improvement in BTC’s price. The price of the cryptocurrency is currently trading around $29,189, experiencing a significant drop from previous highs. Furthermore, the “velocity” indicator, which measures the speed at which Bitcoin is traded, has also decreased.

The prevailing sentiment derived from social media was positive. The increase in positive sentiment, combined with a decrease in negative comments, may indicate that despite recent setbacks, optimism is slowly returning to the Bitcoin community.

When looking closer at the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio of Bitcoin, a negative trend was observed at the time of writing. This ratio indicated that Bitcoin had lost some value when comparing its market value to its average realized value.

bitcoin-mvrv

Finally, taking a closer look at Bitcoin miners provides additional information. Miner revenues were trending downward, indicating potential increased selling pressure from miners. This can be attributed to various factors such as price decline and the need for miners to cover operational expenses.

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Lucien Renard
Lucien Renardhttps://en.coinotag.com/
Lucien Renard is a 24-year-old writer specializing in cryptocurrency analysis and price action. With a focus on technical analysis, Lucien provides valuable insights into market trends and potential opportunities for investors.
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